← Smart money
0xfd0e…d918
SharpEdge
+17.9pp
ROI
+41%
Win rate
88% @ 69.8¢
Brier
0.124
Resolved
139
Avg size
$110
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (9/9) | +14% | 9 |
| Other | 78% (7/9) | +81% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +19% | 4 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | +3233% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (9/9)
- ROI
- +14%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +81%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +19%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +3233%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
81% hit · 21/26- No$51 @ 84.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 76.0¢
- No$26 @ 72.8¢
- Over$105 @ 89.6¢
- No$665 @ 78.2¢
- No$2.1k @ 84.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$471 @ 74.9¢
- No$55 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 72.6¢
- No$750 @ 75.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 84.3¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 49.8¢
- No$32 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 91.8¢
- No$320 @ 79.9¢
- No$404 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$914 @ 91.4¢
- No$31 @ 92.0¢
- No$807 @ 90.6¢
- No$91 @ 90.0¢
- No$855 @ 85.5¢
- No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.0k @ 75.2¢
- No$2.4k @ 68.3¢
- No$1.6k @ 65.6¢
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$1.0k @ 86.8¢
- No$1.0k @ 68.3¢
- No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
- No$814 @ 88.8¢
- No$674 @ 84.3¢
- No$646 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$321 @ 78.3¢
- No$291 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$245 @ 81.8¢
- No$189 @ 89.3¢
- No$181 @ 89.3¢
- Will exactly 7 candidates appear on the first-round ballot of the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$164 @ 89.6¢
- No$122 @ 92.1¢
- No$117 @ 88.5¢
- Macron out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$90 @ 90.0¢
- No$72 @ 90.2¢
- No$68 @ 95.0¢
- No$68 @ 75.0¢