← Smart money
0xfbd9…700b
ProfitableEdge
+17.3pp
ROI
+144%
Win rate
29% @ 11.2¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
35
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 15% (2/13) | +147% | 13 |
| Politics | 80% (4/5) | +235% | 5 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +61% | 1 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- +147%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +235%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +61%
Track record
33% hit · 7/21- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$5 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 11.8¢
- No$7 @ 0.6¢
- No$5 @ 18.0¢
- No$41 @ 0.1¢
- No$5 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- No$5 @ 3.6¢
- No$11 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$2 @ 0.4¢
- No$5 @ 15.0¢
- No$2 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$30 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $10 | 50.0¢ |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 12.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.6¢ |
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsYes$8 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.6¢