← Smart money
0xf6ea…0a00
SharpEdge
+4.1pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
20% @ 16.0¢
Brier
0.012
Resolved
364
Avg size
$32
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (4/6) | +22% | 6 |
| Crypto | 25% (1/4) | -97% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +72% | 1 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +22%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -97%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +72%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
54% hit · 7/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $2.7k | 86.3¢ | Won |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | Lost |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 0.5¢ | Lost |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | $6.4k | 83.9¢ | Won |
| Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $0 | 1.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | $80 | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Yes | $5 | 58.0¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $97 | 0.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | $2.3k | 69.5¢ | Won |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $152 | 0.5¢ | Lost |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | No | $298 | 85.0¢ | Won |
| Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | $159 | 80.1¢ | Won |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | $6.2k | 84.3¢ | Lost |
- Yes$2.7k @ 86.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- No$6.4k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
- No$80 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$97 @ 0.3¢
- No$2.3k @ 69.5¢
- Yes$152 @ 0.5¢
- No$298 @ 85.0¢
- No$159 @ 80.1¢
- No$6.2k @ 84.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$21.7k @ 92.9¢
- Yes$17.6k @ 99.4¢
- No$6.7k @ 97.7¢
- No$4.1k @ 81.5¢
- No$3.1k @ 80.9¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 76.4¢
- No$2.5k @ 97.6¢
- No$2.4k @ 97.6¢
- No$1.9k @ 79.9¢
- No$1.9k @ 81.6¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 17.5¢
- No$1.2k @ 98.2¢
- No$969 @ 96.9¢
- No$753 @ 22.5¢
- No$524 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$206 @ 12.8¢
- No$135 @ 87.9¢