← Smart money
0xf625…42ab
SharpEdge
+20.7pp
ROI
+37%
Win rate
81% @ 60.7¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
86
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 56% (5/9) | +3% | 9 |
| Other | 78% (7/9) | +63% | 9 |
| Politics | 71% (5/7) | +11% | 7 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +64% | 3 |
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +3%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +63%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +11%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +64%
Track record
71% hit · 20/28- Yes$10 @ 57.4¢
- No$30 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 68.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
- No$9 @ 71.1¢
- No$8 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 54.1¢
- No$5 @ 58.0¢
- No$8 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 57.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 73.1¢
- No$10 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 59.0¢
- No$15 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$14 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 60.9¢
- No$5 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
- No$4 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.5¢
- No$52 @ 52.0¢
- No$9 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 68.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $44 | 70.7¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $30 | 66.0¢ |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | No | $29 | 71.3¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | No | $15 | 74.9¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $15 | 72.0¢ |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Culture | Yes | $15 | 75.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $15 | 72.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $15 | 66.0¢ |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 73.0¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $13 | 65.1¢ |
- Yes$44 @ 70.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 66.0¢
- No$29 @ 71.3¢
- No$15 @ 74.9¢
- No$15 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
- No$15 @ 72.0¢
- No$15 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 73.0¢
- No$13 @ 65.1¢