← Smart money
0xf574…6163
SharpEdge
+16.3pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
78% @ 61.9¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
142
Avg size
$45
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 77% (30/39) | -16% | 39 |
| Politics | 69% (18/26) | +48% | 26 |
| Geopolitics | 60% (6/10) | -2% | 10 |
- Other39 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (30/39)
- ROI
- -16%
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (18/26)
- ROI
- +48%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (6/10)
- ROI
- -2%
Track record
72% hit · 54/75- Yes$2 @ 52.2¢
- No$449 @ 79.6¢
- Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
- No$11 @ 32.0¢
- No$145 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$115 @ 74.4¢
- No$300 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 89.0¢
- No$6 @ 73.0¢
- No$2 @ 85.4¢
- No$3 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 18.0¢
- No$23 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
- No$3 @ 42.0¢
- No$65 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 87.0¢
- No$400 @ 84.7¢
- No$119 @ 88.9¢
- No$119 @ 80.2¢
- No$167 @ 51.9¢
- No$294 @ 25.7¢
- No$36 @ 85.0¢
- No$6 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$296 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$241 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
- No$10 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 81.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
- No$4 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$26 @ 43.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 33.3¢
- No$7 @ 79.0¢
- No$39 @ 84.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 29.3¢
- No$83 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 75.0¢
- No$100 @ 29.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- No$73 @ 20.5¢
- No$147 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 13.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $658 | 27.6¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $548 | 69.6¢ |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | No | $378 | 91.6¢ |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $301 | 94.9¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $278 | 85.0¢ |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $168 | 48.9¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $133 | 39.0¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $119 | 95.0¢ |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | No | $102 | 75.5¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | No | $79 | 58.9¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $24 | 47.0¢ |
- Yes$658 @ 27.6¢
- No$548 @ 69.6¢
- No$378 @ 91.6¢
- No$301 @ 94.9¢
- Yes$278 @ 85.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$168 @ 48.9¢
- No$133 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$119 @ 95.0¢
- No$102 @ 75.5¢
- No$79 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 47.0¢