← Smart money
0xf454…7ecc
SharpEdge
+14.0pp
ROI
+113%
Win rate
29% @ 15.4¢
Brier
0.142
Resolved
364
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 29% (14/48) | +141% | 48 |
| Politics | 6% (2/31) | +32% | 31 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/8) | -100% | 8 |
| Sports | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
- Other48 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (14/48)
- ROI
- +141%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 6% (2/31)
- ROI
- +32%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/8)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
17% hit · 16/92- Yes$6 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 2.2¢
- Lakers$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.8¢
- No$5 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
- No$17 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.6¢
- No$27 @ 77.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
- No$33 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
- Pistons$3 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- No$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.2¢
- No$4 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.5¢
- No$6 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- 76ers$2 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Raptors$1 @ 1.7¢
- Rockets$0 @ 2.0¢
- Cloud Rising$2 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$19 @ 6.8¢
- PlayTime$2 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
- No$2 @ 3.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$87 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$77 @ 12.4¢
- No$34 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$32 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$32 @ 25.9¢
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsYes$31 @ 9.0¢
- No$28 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$25 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 5.7¢
- No$10 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 10.0¢
- No$9 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.5¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$5 @ 16.0¢
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsYes$4 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 12.8¢
- China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsYes$3 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.7¢