0xf375…1c0e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf375ffb557851c38695e3bc67b81e6ae46cc1c0e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.7pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

56% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

386

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (31/53)	+44%	53
Politics	65% (30/46)	-18%	46
Geopolitics	69% (9/13)	+4%	13
Crypto	57% (4/7)	+26%	7
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other53 bets
Hit rate
58% (31/53)
ROI
+44%
Politics46 bets
Hit rate
65% (30/46)
ROI
-18%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
69% (9/13)
ROI
+4%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+26%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

62% hit · 74/120

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$1	75.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$1	97.1¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	96.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$5	90.9¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	91.0¢	Won
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$6	42.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	$1	70.0¢	Lost
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$2	93.6¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$8	95.8¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$4	92.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	70.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	Yes	$1	7.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	33.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	71.9¢	Lost
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	98.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?	Yes	$1	3.4¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$1	89.0¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$18	97.2¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$3	90.7¢	Won
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	91.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	91.9¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	$2	96.0¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$2	75.5¢	Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$24	76.9¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$2	66.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$6	82.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Lost
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	$1	98.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$1	96.3¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$5	62.1¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$4	37.2¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	$1	97.0¢	Won
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	$37	69.4¢	Won
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	$1	97.7¢	Won
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	82.3¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$1	97.2¢	Won
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	No	$2	22.2¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Yes	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$2	87.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	59.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	16.9¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2	79.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$2	74.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2	16.4¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$4	21.7¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$2	77.9¢	Won

Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Won
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 97.1¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 96.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$5 @ 90.9¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 91.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$6 @ 42.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Lost
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$2 @ 93.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$8 @ 95.8¢
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Won
Yes$4 @ 92.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 70.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 33.1¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 71.9¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 98.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
No$18 @ 97.2¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 90.7¢
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 91.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 96.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 75.5¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Won
No$24 @ 76.9¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 66.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$6 @ 82.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 96.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$5 @ 62.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 37.2¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 97.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Lost
No$1 @ 18.0¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$37 @ 69.4¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 97.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 82.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 97.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Lost
No$2 @ 22.2¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$2 @ 87.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 16.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$2 @ 77.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$34	69.7¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$6	50.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$5	73.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$3	91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$2	31.2¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	10.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2	2.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	3.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	27.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	52.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$1	73.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	60.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$34 @ 69.7¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$6 @ 50.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$5 @ 73.2¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$3 @ 91.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$2 @ 31.2¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 73.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢