← Smart money
0xf375…1c0e
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
57% @ 44.8¢
Brier
0.165
Resolved
390
Avg size
$1
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (24/40) | +64% | 40 |
| Politics | 54% (14/26) | -32% | 26 |
| Crypto | 57% (4/7) | +26% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -11% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other40 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (24/40)
- ROI
- +64%
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (14/26)
- ROI
- -32%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +26%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -11%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
57% hit · 44/77- No$2 @ 87.6¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
- No$1 @ 60.0¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 21.7¢
- No$2 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.4¢
- No$3 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 18.8¢
- No$23 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 19.3¢
- No$6 @ 71.2¢
- No$1 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- No$2 @ 57.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
- No$1 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 73.0¢
- No$1 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$2 @ 71.1¢
- No$4 @ 89.5¢
- No$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 71.7¢
- No$8 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 28.8¢
- No$3 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$3 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.7¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 49.6¢
- No$2 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- No$10 @ 44.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.7¢
- No$13 @ 36.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$37 @ 69.4¢
- No$33 @ 69.4¢
- No$18 @ 97.2¢
- No$8 @ 85.5¢
- No$8 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
- No$6 @ 50.8¢
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6 @ 92.1¢
- No$5 @ 62.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 73.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 37.2¢
- No$3 @ 90.7¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3 @ 82.3¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3 @ 91.5¢
- No$2 @ 93.6¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2 @ 75.5¢
- No$2 @ 22.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- No$1 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
- No$1 @ 98.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
- No$1 @ 98.0¢
- Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNo$1 @ 96.3¢
- No$1 @ 97.0¢