← Smart money
0xf375…1c0e
SharpEdge
+11.7pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
56% @ 44.8¢
Brier
0.167
Resolved
386
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (24/40) | +63% | 40 |
| Politics | 56% (15/27) | -32% | 27 |
| Crypto | 57% (4/7) | +26% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -11% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other40 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (24/40)
- ROI
- +63%
- Politics27 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (15/27)
- ROI
- -32%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +26%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -11%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
58% hit · 45/78- No$2 @ 87.6¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 79.0¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 21.7¢
- No$2 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.4¢
- No$3 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 18.4¢
- No$23 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 19.3¢
- No$6 @ 71.2¢
- No$1 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- No$2 @ 57.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
- No$1 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 73.0¢
- No$1 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.6¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- No$2 @ 71.1¢
- No$4 @ 89.5¢
- No$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 71.7¢
- No$8 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
- No$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 28.8¢
- No$3 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$3 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.7¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 49.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- No$10 @ 44.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.7¢
- No$13 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 31.5¢
- No$1 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$37 @ 57.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$34 @ 69.7¢
- No$11 @ 96.8¢
- No$6 @ 50.8¢
- No$5 @ 90.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 73.2¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$3 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 31.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
- No$1 @ 27.0¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1 @ 60.0¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢
- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- No$1 @ 89.0¢