0xf1f4…cd2e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf1f4296d92f918d43e642b0b92c149a2c8f5cd2e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

90% @ 73.6¢

Brier

0.078

Resolved

124

Avg size

$98

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	71% (5/7)	+23%	7
Politics	67% (4/6)	+13%	6
Other	50% (3/6)	+20%	6
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+33%	2
Economy	50% (1/2)	+69%	2
Culture	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Sports7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+23%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+13%
Other6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+33%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+69%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

67% hit · 16/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?	No	$43	42.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$25	45.0¢	Won
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?	No	$41	33.8¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$3.6k	73.1¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?	No	$178	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$1.9k	79.2¢	Won
National Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	$6	41.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$3.0k	82.2¢	Won
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	$10	27.6¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$100	84.0¢	Won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Norway	$505	68.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$108	53.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$300	74.6¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$100	89.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$1000	69.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$80	40.0¢	Lost
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?	No	$16	16.1¢	Lost
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?	Yes	$183	84.6¢	Won
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$401	75.7¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$50	71.5¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$292	73.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$50	76.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	Yes	$33	25.8¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$101	74.0¢	Lost

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?Lost
No$43 @ 42.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$25 @ 45.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?Lost
No$41 @ 33.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$3.6k @ 73.1¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Won
No$178 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$1.9k @ 79.2¢
National Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick HanfmannLost
Benjamin Bonzi$6 @ 41.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$3.0k @ 82.2¢
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.6¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$100 @ 84.0¢
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Won
Norway$505 @ 68.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$108 @ 53.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$300 @ 74.6¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
No$1000 @ 69.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$80 @ 40.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?Lost
No$16 @ 16.1¢
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?Won
Yes$183 @ 84.6¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$401 @ 75.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$50 @ 71.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$292 @ 73.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$50 @ 76.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Won
Yes$33 @ 25.8¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Lost
Yes$101 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	No	$2.8k	94.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$1.9k	80.8¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$510	87.3¢
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$415	87.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$210	42.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$142	14.2¢
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$130	65.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$96	47.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	No	$60	75.0¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$27	54.6¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
No$2.8k @ 94.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$1.9k @ 80.8¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$510 @ 87.3¢
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$415 @ 87.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$210 @ 42.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$142 @ 14.2¢
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Tech
Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$96 @ 47.9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
No$60 @ 75.0¢
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$27 @ 54.6¢