0xf0bf…84c7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf0bf7489e94705d8ecf3e823dda63dea027684c7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+32.3pp

ROI

+93%

Win rate

62% @ 29.8¢

Brier

0.313

Resolved

351

Avg size

$104

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (26/47)	+128%	47
Politics	50% (3/6)	-31%	6
Geopolitics	60% (3/5)	+8%	5
Sports	100% (1/1)	+108%	1

Other47 bets
Hit rate
55% (26/47)
ROI
+128%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-31%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+8%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+108%

Track record

56% hit · 33/59

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	72.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	$200	64.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$960	24.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.5k	85.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$576	48.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	$726	21.6¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$102	17.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 September 29-October 5?	No	$30	40.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	25.4¢	Won
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?	No	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?	No	$10	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high before October?	No	$100	16.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?	Yes	$100	12.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	34.1¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2.4k	22.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 September 29-October 5?	No	$300	79.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?	No	$16	44.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	$334	30.9¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$305	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.7k	56.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$215	43.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$48	16.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?	Yes	$36	24.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$170	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$2.7k	50.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$194	4.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 8?	Yes	$31	39.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$320	64.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	38.6¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$2.1k	86.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	$2.2k	22.0¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	Yes	$401	21.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$863	44.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	$288	12.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?	Yes	$100	58.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	$1.7k	59.9¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	$49	22.3¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?	No	$40	30.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$990	11.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?	No	$195	73.8¢	Won
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$392	32.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$1.0k	50.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	$52	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$232	58.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 5?	Yes	$78	78.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?	Yes	$1.7k	27.4¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$210	70.1¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?	No	$168	84.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?	Yes	$100	18.2¢	Lost

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 72.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
No$200 @ 64.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$960 @ 24.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$2.5k @ 85.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$576 @ 48.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Won
No$726 @ 21.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$102 @ 17.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 September 29-October 5?Lost
No$30 @ 40.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 25.4¢
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?Lost
No$10 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?Lost
No$10 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin all time high before October?Lost
No$100 @ 16.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?Lost
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?Lost
Yes$100 @ 12.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 34.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 22.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 September 29-October 5?Lost
No$300 @ 79.0¢
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?Lost
No$16 @ 44.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?Lost
Yes$334 @ 30.9¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$305 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.7k @ 56.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$215 @ 43.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$48 @ 16.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?Won
Yes$36 @ 24.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$170 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 50.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$194 @ 4.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 8?Won
Yes$31 @ 39.0¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$320 @ 64.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 38.6¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$2.1k @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 22.0¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Lost
Yes$401 @ 21.7¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$863 @ 44.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Lost
Yes$288 @ 12.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?Won
Yes$100 @ 58.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Won
No$1.7k @ 59.9¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Won
No$49 @ 22.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?Lost
No$40 @ 30.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$990 @ 11.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?Won
No$195 @ 73.8¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Lost
Yes$392 @ 32.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Lost
No$52 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
No$232 @ 58.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 5?Won
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 27.4¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Won
No$210 @ 70.1¢
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?Won
No$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?Lost
Yes$100 @ 18.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	59.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Crypto	No	$576	64.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$540	18.0¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$514	69.7¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$475	95.0¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$434	62.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Crypto	No	$418	38.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Crypto	No	$396	44.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$378	42.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	No	$224	56.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$209	52.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$168	28.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$118	59.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$77	34.0¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 59.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Crypto
No$576 @ 64.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$540 @ 18.0¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$514 @ 69.7¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$475 @ 95.0¢
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$434 @ 62.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Crypto
No$418 @ 38.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?Crypto
No$396 @ 44.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$378 @ 42.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
No$224 @ 56.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$209 @ 52.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$168 @ 28.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$118 @ 59.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$77 @ 34.0¢