← Smart money
0xf06d…44df
ProfitableEdge
+9.9pp
ROI
+380%
Win rate
53% @ 43.1¢
Brier
0.220
Resolved
392
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (76/139) | -33% | 139 |
| Sports | 50% (47/94) | +518% | 94 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +28% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +53% | 1 |
- Other139 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (76/139)
- ROI
- -33%
- Sports94 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (47/94)
- ROI
- +518%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +28%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +53%
Track record
53% hit · 126/240- Matteo Berrettini$1 @ 56.0¢
- No$8 @ 81.0¢
- Taylor Fritz$2 @ 80.0¢
- Elina Svitolina$1 @ 22.0¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 77.0¢
- Hubert Hurkacz$2 @ 66.0¢
- Yannick Hanfmann$1 @ 13.0¢
- Mirra Andreeva$3 @ 15.0¢
- Lorenzo Musetti$4 @ 87.0¢
- Joao Fonseca$2 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
- Laura Siegemund$2 @ 6.0¢
- Ben Shelton$8 @ 83.0¢
- Elena Rybakina$4 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Rafael Jodar$6 @ 61.5¢
- Kaitlin Quevedo$1 @ 58.0¢
- Hailey Baptiste$47 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
- Aryna Sabalenka$2 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$339 @ 63.0¢
- Ben Shelton$4 @ 77.0¢
- Iga Swiatek$7 @ 70.5¢
- Flavio Cobolli$2 @ 57.0¢
- Under$1 @ 53.0¢
- Toby Samuel$1 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
- Elena Rybakina$2 @ 25.0¢
- No$6 @ 62.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
- Simona Waltert$2 @ 41.0¢
- Anastasia Potapova$2 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
- Mirra Andreeva$3 @ 69.0¢
- Stefanos Tsitsipas$1 @ 62.0¢
- Valentin Vacherot$4 @ 74.0¢
- Aryna Sabalenka$1 @ 82.0¢
- Ben Shelton$2 @ 80.0¢
- Lorenzo Musetti$3 @ 61.0¢
- Rafael Jodar$10 @ 39.0¢
- No$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 71.0¢
- Ignacio Buse$1 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 28.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $80 | 79.9¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 54.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 56.1¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $2 | 92.0¢ |
| Korea Open: Da-Yeon Back vs Maya Joint | Sports | Da-Yeon Back | $1 | 21.0¢ |
| Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet | Sports | Kyrian Jacquet | $1 | 50.0¢ |
| Singapore Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska | Sports | Maja Chwalinska | $1 | 68.0¢ |
| Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katie Volynets | Sports | Katie Volynets | $1 | 66.0¢ |
| Chengdu Open: Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksby | Sports | Sebastian Baez | $1 | 42.0¢ |
| Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Sports | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | $1 | 11.0¢ |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | Culture | No | $1 | 88.0¢ |
- Yes$80 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 56.1¢
- No$2 @ 92.0¢
- Da-Yeon Back$1 @ 21.0¢
- Kyrian Jacquet$1 @ 50.0¢
- Maja Chwalinska$1 @ 68.0¢
- Katie Volynets$1 @ 66.0¢
- Sebastian Baez$1 @ 42.0¢
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich$1 @ 11.0¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢