← Smart money
0xeea7…a60c
ProfitableEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
45% @ 41.0¢
Brier
0.233
Resolved
825
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (74/192) | +10% | 192 |
| Politics | 65% (11/17) | -27% | 17 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (6/8) | -2% | 8 |
| Sports | 60% (3/5) | -20% | 5 |
- Other192 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (74/192)
- ROI
- +10%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (11/17)
- ROI
- -27%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- -2%
- Sports5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -20%
Track record
42% hit · 94/222- No$3 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 36.1¢
- No$36 @ 83.7¢
- Over$3 @ 35.0¢
- HANJIN BRION$3 @ 17.7¢
- Daniel Altmaier$2 @ 40.0¢
- Zhizhen Zhang$6 @ 19.5¢
- MOUZ$3 @ 55.0¢
- Yellow Submarine$9 @ 38.5¢
- New York Mets$7 @ 35.0¢
- Yannick Hanfmann$42 @ 36.5¢
- Max Schoenhaus$1 @ 18.0¢
- Zdenek Kolar$2 @ 38.0¢
- Team Nemesis$23 @ 43.8¢
- Knicks$100 @ 51.0¢
- No$5 @ 76.0¢
- Under$1 @ 14.0¢
- L1ga Team$26 @ 47.6¢
- Team Nemesis$19 @ 28.1¢
- Over$2 @ 42.0¢
- Chicago White Sox$6 @ 58.5¢
- Seattle Mariners$6 @ 37.9¢
- Milwaukee Brewers$3 @ 48.0¢
- No$99 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
- Matteo Arnaldi$12 @ 52.0¢
- Over$2 @ 38.0¢
- Ilbirs eSports$6 @ 49.0¢
- Over$29 @ 43.0¢
- Under$122 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
- Over$2 @ 34.0¢
- Rio Noguchi$11 @ 44.2¢
- Colorado Rockies$1 @ 28.0¢
- Clippers$95 @ 64.0¢
- Trail Blazers$73 @ 37.1¢
- Suns vs. MagicLostSuns$110 @ 28.6¢
- 1win$2 @ 36.0¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$5 @ 46.0¢
- No$10 @ 88.8¢
- Philadelphia Phillies$1 @ 10.0¢
- ThunderTalk Gaming$2 @ 32.0¢
- Jesper de Jong$7 @ 47.7¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$4 @ 29.5¢
- 1win$20 @ 52.2¢
- REKONIX$3 @ 49.0¢
- Team Nemesis$14 @ 36.3¢
- Spain$10 @ 67.0¢
- Nemiga Gaming$5 @ 10.6¢
- WIP Esports$3 @ 15.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Politics | No | $20 | 77.5¢ |
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$20 @ 77.5¢