0xee30…9297

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xee30e5174dae1fd602ff1f06cc398bf67a1f9297
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-10.0pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

47% @ 57.0¢

Brier

0.238

Resolved

417

Avg size

$158

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (29/42)	+55%	42
Crypto	75% (3/4)	-22%	4
Politics	67% (2/3)	-34%	3
Business	50% (1/2)	+17%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Sports	100% (1/1)	+49%	1

Other42 bets
Hit rate
69% (29/42)
ROI
+55%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-34%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+17%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%

Track record

68% hit · 36/53

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$462	82.5¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$1.0k	67.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	Yes	$341	75.9¢	Won
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$114	86.0¢	Won
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Lost
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$292	89.2¢	Lost
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	$716	84.6¢	Won
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$202	89.0¢	Won
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$178	81.2¢	Won
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$330	89.0¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?	No	$31	84.8¢	Won
Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	$346	86.5¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.7k	66.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	58.0¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?	Yes	$810	71.0¢	Won
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$207	87.7¢	Won
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	No	$176	86.9¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?	Yes	$495	77.2¢	Won
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$27	89.0¢	Won
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$281	83.7¢	Won
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$437	80.5¢	Won
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$91	88.5¢	Won
Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$95	88.7¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$300	60.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?	Yes	$28	60.0¢	Won
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$880	89.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?	Yes	$595	81.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?	Yes	$258	81.9¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$787	78.6¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$3.1k	54.6¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$183	33.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$3.2k	59.9¢	Lost
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$632	78.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	$1.3k	53.0¢	Lost
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	76.0¢	Lost
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$83	73.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$879	29.2¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4.4k	52.1¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	Yes	$58	28.8¢	Lost
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$134	89.0¢	Won
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	$380	76.0¢	Won
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$106	79.3¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	$416	74.6¢	Lost
Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$7	87.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$32.1k	48.0¢	Won
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	Yes	$224	74.5¢	Won
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	$2.2k	49.2¢	Lost
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?	Yes	$269	89.7¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?	No	$748	87.8¢	Won

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$462 @ 82.5¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 67.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?Won
Yes$341 @ 75.9¢
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$114 @ 86.0¢
Trump out as President by August 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$292 @ 89.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Won
No$716 @ 84.6¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$202 @ 89.0¢
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$178 @ 81.2¢
Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$330 @ 89.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?Won
No$31 @ 84.8¢
Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Won
Yes$346 @ 86.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.7k @ 66.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 58.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?Won
Yes$810 @ 71.0¢
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$207 @ 87.7¢
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?Won
No$176 @ 86.9¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?Won
Yes$495 @ 77.2¢
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$27 @ 89.0¢
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$281 @ 83.7¢
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$437 @ 80.5¢
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$91 @ 88.5¢
Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$95 @ 88.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?Won
Yes$28 @ 60.0¢
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$880 @ 89.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?Won
Yes$595 @ 81.7¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?Lost
Yes$258 @ 81.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$787 @ 78.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$3.1k @ 54.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$183 @ 33.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 59.9¢
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$632 @ 78.9¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Lost
No$1.3k @ 53.0¢
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 76.0¢
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$83 @ 73.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$879 @ 29.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$4.4k @ 52.1¢
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Lost
Yes$58 @ 28.8¢
Will Kohls (KSS) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$134 @ 89.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$106 @ 79.3¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$416 @ 74.6¢
Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Won
No$32.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Won
Yes$224 @ 74.5¢
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 49.2¢
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Won
Yes$269 @ 89.7¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?Won
No$748 @ 87.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$955	94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$901	36.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$795	82.2¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$478	7.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$302	45.4¢

Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$955 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$901 @ 36.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$795 @ 82.2¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$478 @ 7.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$302 @ 45.4¢