0xebcd…d2ef

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xebcd052a92fdb40644ebd844e58722955e1dd2ef
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.8pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

97% @ 79.8¢

Brier

0.062

Resolved

147

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	91% (32/35)	+19%	35
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+22%	4
Science	100% (3/3)	+17%	3
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+22%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+53%	1

Other35 bets
Hit rate
91% (32/35)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+22%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+17%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+53%

Track record

91% hit · 41/45

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$51	75.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	$10	76.7¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$272	79.3¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?	No	$86	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on May 24?	No	$5	73.0¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15	89.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?	No	$25	88.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$90	76.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?	No	$91	87.7¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$5	82.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on May 15?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 5?	No	$50	84.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?	No	$20	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?	No	$20	87.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?	No	$10	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 10?	No	$4	89.7¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 30?	Yes	$14	83.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$10	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	$10	88.4¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$548	81.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 1?	Yes	$15	80.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 8?	No	$16	85.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	$5	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 11?	Yes	$50	89.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 21?	No	$20	88.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?	No	$10	85.0¢	Won
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$102	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?	No	$36	65.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?	Yes	$10	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 27?	No	$12	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	$20	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	$5	84.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 11?	No	$5	85.6¢	Won
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	$50	87.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	$3	90.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	$50	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?	No	$131	88.1¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 13 2026?	No	$80	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	$4	74.1¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11?	Yes	$5	75.9¢	Won
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?	No	$217	71.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 12?	No	$12	85.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	$20	89.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?	No	$10	89.6¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$51 @ 75.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 76.7¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$272 @ 79.3¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June?Won
No$86 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on May 24?Won
No$5 @ 73.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$15 @ 89.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12?Won
No$25 @ 88.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$90 @ 76.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Won
No$91 @ 87.7¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$5 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on May 15?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 5?Won
No$50 @ 84.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?Won
No$20 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?Won
No$20 @ 87.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?Won
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 10?Won
No$4 @ 89.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 30?Won
Yes$14 @ 83.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$10 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 88.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$548 @ 81.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 1?Lost
Yes$15 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 8?Won
No$16 @ 85.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 13?Won
Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 11?Lost
Yes$50 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 21?Won
No$20 @ 88.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?Won
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$102 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?Won
No$36 @ 65.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?Won
Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 27?Won
No$12 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?Won
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?Won
Yes$5 @ 84.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 11?Won
No$5 @ 85.6¢
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$50 @ 87.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?Won
Yes$3 @ 90.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Won
No$50 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?Won
No$131 @ 88.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 13 2026?Won
No$80 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?Won
Yes$4 @ 74.1¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.9¢
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?Won
No$217 @ 71.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 12?Won
No$12 @ 85.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 89.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 11?Won
No$10 @ 89.6¢

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