0xeb22…808a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.0pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

27% @ 15.3¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

5316

Avg size

$107

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (31/98)	+28%	98
Politics	37% (30/82)	-19%	82
Sports	25% (13/51)	+132%	51
Geopolitics	15% (2/13)	-97%	13
Economy	25% (1/4)	-98%	4
Crypto	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Tech	100% (3/3)	+49%	3

Other98 bets
Hit rate
32% (31/98)
ROI
+28%
Politics82 bets
Hit rate
37% (30/82)
ROI
-19%
Sports51 bets
Hit rate
25% (13/51)
ROI
+132%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
-97%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-98%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+49%

Track record

31% hit · 80/255

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	$308	12.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$610	61.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$30	22.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$71	0.9¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Knicks	$340	68.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$20.0k	63.4¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$63	9.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$210	4.2¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$4.5k	15.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$4.0k	9.6¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$21	0.7¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$625	25.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	3.8¢	Lost
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$485	24.2¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	$150	6.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	$29	2.8¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	10.5¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$856	34.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?	No	$295	29.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	$107	2.1¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$475	47.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$161	5.3¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$497	49.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$36	0.2¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5	Over	$360	36.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	$182	1.8¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$234	4.1¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$435	87.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$2.4k	47.0¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	$480	48.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$805	40.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	$115	13.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?	Yes	$110	2.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$5.7k	4.5¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	$230	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$105	4.2¢	Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?	Yes	$64	6.4¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.9k	9.7¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	3.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	No	$5	4.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-3.5)	France	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	Yes	$460	46.0¢	Lost
Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?	No	$255	77.9¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5	Over	$340	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$120	4.8¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$2.4k	3.1¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$14.3k	42.6¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$900	45.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	0.3¢	Lost

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
Yes$308 @ 12.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
No$30 @ 22.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$71 @ 0.9¢
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Won
Knicks$340 @ 68.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$20.0k @ 63.4¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$63 @ 9.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$210 @ 4.2¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$4.5k @ 15.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$4.0k @ 9.6¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.7¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$625 @ 25.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 3.8¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Won
Yes$485 @ 24.2¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Won
Yes$150 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?Lost
Yes$29 @ 2.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 10.5¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$856 @ 34.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Lost
No$295 @ 29.5¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?Lost
Yes$107 @ 2.1¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$475 @ 47.5¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?Won
Yes$161 @ 5.3¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$497 @ 49.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 0.2¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$360 @ 36.0¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?Lost
Yes$182 @ 1.8¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$234 @ 4.1¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$2.4k @ 47.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Lost
No$480 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$805 @ 40.2¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?Lost
Yes$115 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?Lost
Yes$110 @ 2.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 4.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Lost
No$230 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$105 @ 4.2¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?Lost
Yes$64 @ 6.4¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.9k @ 9.7¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 3.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 4.0¢
Spread: France (-3.5)Lost
France$170 @ 17.0¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?Won
No$255 @ 77.9¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Won
Over$340 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$120 @ 4.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 3.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$14.3k @ 42.6¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$900 @ 45.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$26.3k	34.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$25.0k	23.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24.8k	16.3¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$10.0k	13.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$9.5k	19.0¢
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$9.4k	9.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$8.7k	58.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$8.7k	16.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$7.4k	42.9¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.7k	32.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.2k	40.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$6.0k	35.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$6.0k	49.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$5.9k	17.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$4.7k	47.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$4.5k	2.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$4.0k	39.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	28.7¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.3k	13.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.0k	20.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.9k	11.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	54.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	25.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.6k	25.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	23.0¢
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	1.1¢
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$1.9k	0.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	36.0¢
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$1.7k	3.3¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	33.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$26.3k @ 34.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$25.0k @ 23.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$24.8k @ 16.3¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$10.0k @ 13.2¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$9.5k @ 19.0¢
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$9.4k @ 9.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$8.7k @ 58.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
Yes$8.7k @ 16.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$7.4k @ 42.9¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$6.7k @ 32.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$6.2k @ 40.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$6.0k @ 35.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$6.0k @ 49.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$5.9k @ 17.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$4.7k @ 47.0¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$4.5k @ 2.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$4.0k @ 39.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 28.7¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.3k @ 13.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$3.0k @ 20.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$2.9k @ 11.3¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 54.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 25.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.6k @ 25.9¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 1.1¢
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$1.9k @ 0.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 36.0¢
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$1.7k @ 3.3¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 33.0¢