0xeae1…65ec

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other109 bets

  Hit rate

  21% (23/109)

  ROI

  -8%

• Politics27 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (15/27)

  ROI

  +17%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -15%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +112%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +80%

• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 9.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Lost
  No$73 @ 31.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 4.1¢
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
  No$397 @ 47.2¢
• Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$48 @ 70.5¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$8 @ 79.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 45.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 3.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 2.9¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 13.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 22.2¢
• Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerLost
  FaZe$383 @ 37.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$147 @ 47.4¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
  Yes$132 @ 22.7¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$122 @ 66.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$45 @ 55.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
  No$88 @ 33.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Won
  Yes$13 @ 46.9¢
• LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
  BNK FEARX$33 @ 65.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Lost
  No$23 @ 13.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Lost
  No$10 @ 15.9¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$23 @ 86.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 4.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Won
  No$62 @ 46.7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 4.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$3 @ 31.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
  Yes$5 @ 57.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Won
  Yes$241 @ 31.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 2.8¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Won
  Yes$200 @ 32.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 5.3¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 12.1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Lost
  No$3 @ 41.0¢
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$227 @ 59.3¢
• Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsLost
  Eternal Fire$2 @ 47.0¢
• Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BWon
  L1ga Team$14 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 13.8¢
• Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Lost
  No$44 @ 35.6¢
• LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
  Ninjas in Pyjamas$85 @ 18.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 44.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Lost
  Yes$46 @ 12.9¢
• Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaWon
  Rex Regum Qeon$38 @ 69.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.6¢

Current positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$493 @ 60.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$243 @ 86.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$222 @ 81.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$151 @ 59.3¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$76 @ 81.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Politics
  Yes$28 @ 35.8¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  No$25 @ 88.2¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$18 @ 83.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$14 @ 74.6¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$14 @ 25.4¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$12 @ 82.4¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
  Yes$10 @ 69.8¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 13.2¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$9 @ 4.6¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$9 @ 25.4¢
• Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Politics
  No$8 @ 37.0¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 29.3¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 43.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 10.2¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$5 @ 94.9¢
• Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 76.0¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4 @ 13.9¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$4 @ 96.7¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$4 @ 5.7¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 22.6¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
  Yes$2 @ 5.5¢
• Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 39.1¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 2.1¢