← Smart money
0xea85…12dd
SharpEdge
+10.2pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
54% @ 44.0¢
Brier
0.157
Resolved
190
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 42% (8/19) | -13% | 19 |
| Other | 33% (2/6) | -29% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +31% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +105% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (8/19)
- ROI
- -13%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -29%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +31%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +105%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
44% hit · 15/34- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.8¢
- No$1 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$40 @ 57.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 17.7¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
- No$6 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- No$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
- No$1 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$44 @ 58.9¢
- No$1 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 78.2¢
- No$2 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.1¢
- No$4 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- No$9 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.4¢
- No$4 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 57.3¢
- No$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.2¢
- No$1 @ 39.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$175 @ 20.2¢
- No$93 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$66 @ 25.6¢
- No$43 @ 97.0¢
- No$33 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 17.2¢
- No$23 @ 90.9¢
- No$21 @ 38.0¢
- No$10 @ 97.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 51.8¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$9 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$8 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 22.8¢
- No$8 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 27.1¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$7 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 32.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.5¢