← Smart money
0xea85…12dd
SharpEdge
+9.8pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
52% @ 42.5¢
Brier
0.150
Resolved
176
Avg size
$1
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 41% (7/17) | -16% | 17 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +31% | 6 |
| Other | 25% (1/4) | -46% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +105% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (7/17)
- ROI
- -16%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +31%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -46%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +105%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 13/30- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.8¢
- No$1 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- No$40 @ 57.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 17.7¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.7¢
- No$6 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- No$2 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.2¢
- No$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 35.0¢
- No$1 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$44 @ 58.9¢
- No$1 @ 39.0¢
- No$1 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 78.2¢
- No$2 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.1¢
- No$4 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$63 @ 79.5¢
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$52 @ 80.1¢
- No$16 @ 91.5¢
- No$14 @ 88.8¢
- No$10 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 58.5¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$7 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 8.6¢
- No$6 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2 @ 32.1¢
- No$2 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 51.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 44.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 97.0¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 83.0¢
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsNo$1 @ 18.0¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?GeopoliticsNo$1 @ 81.0¢
- No$1 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 31.0¢