0xea2e…1e57

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xea2e362e3ed3b81df82ab64b123318b8028b1e57
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.2pp

ROI

+120%

Win rate

22% @ 7.6¢

Brier

0.147

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Politics	38% (3/8)	+290%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
+290%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 3/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$56	2.2¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$50	1.8¢	Lost
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	No	$5	13.0¢	Lost
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 Mexico?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$17	8.9¢	Lost
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$16	76.0¢	Won
Chirayu Rana divorced?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$8	77.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 3 IR Iran?	Yes	$19	5.9¢	Lost
Will the match not air?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?	Yes	$67	2.8¢	Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	$15	3.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	$23	5.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Lost
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	$49	6.5¢	Won

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$56 @ 2.2¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$50 @ 1.8¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Lost
No$5 @ 13.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 3 Mexico?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Lost
No$17 @ 8.9¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$16 @ 76.0¢
Chirayu Rana divorced?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$8 @ 77.0¢
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 3 IR Iran?Lost
Yes$19 @ 5.9¢
Will the match not air?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?Lost
Yes$67 @ 2.8¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.4¢
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?Lost
Yes$23 @ 5.9¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 6.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$142	40.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$100	61.3¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$76	18.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$70	87.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	Yes	$61	28.6¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$56	95.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$54	38.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$50	32.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	57.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$45	34.6¢
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$45	88.2¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$45	1.2¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$41	37.8¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	No	$40	48.8¢
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?	Politics	No	$35	98.9¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	No	$35	97.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	82.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$30	82.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	Yes	$28	16.6¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	—	No	$25	89.6¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Politics	No	$25	95.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Geopolitics	No	$24	82.0¢
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	—	No	$24	77.6¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	—	No	$24	71.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	Politics	No	$24	84.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	—	No	$23	82.0¢
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	Politics	No	$20	97.9¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$20	73.0¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	—	Yes	$20	34.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$20	3.7¢

US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$142 @ 40.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$100 @ 61.3¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$76 @ 18.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$70 @ 87.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
Yes$61 @ 28.6¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics
No$56 @ 95.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$54 @ 38.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
Yes$50 @ 32.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 57.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$45 @ 34.6¢
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$45 @ 88.2¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$45 @ 1.2¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$41 @ 37.8¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
No$40 @ 48.8¢
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Politics
No$35 @ 98.9¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
No$35 @ 97.4¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 82.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$30 @ 82.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
Yes$28 @ 16.6¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?—
No$25 @ 89.6¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
No$25 @ 95.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Geopolitics
No$24 @ 82.0¢
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?—
No$24 @ 77.6¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?—
No$24 @ 71.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics
No$24 @ 84.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?—
No$23 @ 82.0¢
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics
No$20 @ 97.9¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 73.0¢
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 3.7¢