0xe9cf…69fd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe9cf569053d7e696fb9b6074fb3de399e50a69fd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

33% @ 26.8¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

387

Avg size

$189

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (13/31)	+4%	31
Politics	67% (2/3)	+239%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+79%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
42% (13/31)
ROI
+4%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+239%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+79%

Track record

46% hit · 16/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1.1k	18.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?	No	$5.0k	51.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?	Yes	$2.1k	42.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$1.2k	45.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$5.8k	88.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?	Yes	$3.0k	79.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?	Yes	$2.0k	49.7¢	Won
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	No	$4.6k	86.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?	Yes	$550	3.6¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?	No	$2.5k	83.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?	Yes	$120	1.2¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1000	74.0¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: January	Yes	$1.5k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	$2.7k	9.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$2.9k	60.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?	Yes	$1.5k	60.0¢	Lost
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	$1.9k	36.0¢	Lost
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$2.2k	28.8¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?	No	$1.4k	4.7¢	Lost
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$1.4k	13.7¢	Lost
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$998	34.7¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	$562	56.0¢	Won
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	$90	3.0¢	Lost
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$900	17.6¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$2.8k	60.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$5.7k	17.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?	No	$2.3k	51.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?	Yes	$2.1k	20.9¢	Won
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	$240	1.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$6.3k	50.9¢	Won
Will no leader be out in 2025?	Yes	$282	1.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	$3.2k	83.0¢	Won
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?	Yes	$79	21.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$4.1k	50.7¢	Lost

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 18.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?Won
No$5.0k @ 51.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 42.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 45.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
No$5.8k @ 88.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 79.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 49.7¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?Won
No$4.6k @ 86.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?Lost
Yes$550 @ 3.6¢
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?Won
No$2.5k @ 83.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on July 1?Lost
Yes$120 @ 1.2¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$1000 @ 74.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryLost
Yes$1.5k @ 34.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Lost
Yes$2.7k @ 9.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 60.4¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 60.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 36.0¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 28.8¢
Will XRP reach $2.3 in July?Lost
No$1.4k @ 4.7¢
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 13.7¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$998 @ 34.7¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?Won
Yes$562 @ 56.0¢
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Lost
Yes$90 @ 3.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$900 @ 17.6¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 60.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$5.7k @ 17.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?Lost
No$2.3k @ 51.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 20.9¢
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$240 @ 1.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$6.3k @ 50.9¢
Will no leader be out in 2025?Lost
Yes$282 @ 1.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 June 29-July 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Won
No$3.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?Lost
Yes$79 @ 21.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 50.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$840	21.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$332	33.2¢

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$840 @ 21.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$332 @ 33.2¢