0xe958…66b7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe9582ac5e2d22a771ed84adc12c8df30a8b166b7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+24.4pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

91% @ 66.8¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

704

Avg size

$42

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	77% (17/22)	+36%	22
Politics	83% (5/6)	+24%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other22 bets
Hit rate
77% (17/22)
ROI
+36%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+24%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

76% hit · 22/29

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$124	85.8¢	Won
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	No	$88	87.5¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$3.5k	65.8¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$769	75.1¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	No	$40	71.7¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	Yes	$43	25.3¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$471	77.8¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$202	78.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$415	83.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$45	87.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$6.0k	78.9¢	Won
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	$828	74.1¢	Won
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$50	33.1¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$72	57.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$638	76.5¢	Won
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	$1.2k	72.5¢	Won
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	$33	44.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	$2.2k	80.8¢	Won
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$27	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	$1.7k	58.8¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$4.3k	64.8¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	$1.2k	73.6¢	Won
Saints vs. Ravens	Ravens	$117	78.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	$1.4k	54.4¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	$910	52.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	$2.6k	76.6¢	Won
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	$469	79.4¢	Won

Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$124 @ 85.8¢
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Won
No$88 @ 87.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$3.5k @ 65.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$769 @ 75.1¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Won
No$40 @ 71.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Lost
Yes$43 @ 25.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
No$471 @ 77.8¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$202 @ 78.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$415 @ 83.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Won
Yes$45 @ 87.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Won
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$6.0k @ 78.9¢
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Won
No$828 @ 74.1¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$50 @ 33.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$72 @ 57.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$638 @ 76.5¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Won
No$1.2k @ 72.5¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Lost
Yes$33 @ 44.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Won
No$2.2k @ 80.8¢
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Won
No$27 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Won
No$1.7k @ 58.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
No$4.3k @ 64.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Won
No$1.2k @ 73.6¢
Saints vs. RavensLost
Ravens$117 @ 78.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Lost
No$1.4k @ 54.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Won
Yes$910 @ 52.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Won
No$2.6k @ 76.6¢
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Won
Yes$469 @ 79.4¢

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