0xe947…ab96

Specialization by sphere

• Other28 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (16/28)

  ROI

  +29%

• Sports17 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (7/17)

  ROI

  +2%

• Politics5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  -46%

• Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 6.9¢
• Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
  No$406 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?Won
  Yes$330 @ 16.5¢
• Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Won
  No$512 @ 51.3¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$424 @ 46.5¢
• Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
  Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
• Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?Lost
  Yes$138 @ 61.9¢
• Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$191 @ 63.0¢
• Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
• Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 13.8¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Won
  No$415 @ 83.0¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 5.9¢
• Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Lost
  No$7 @ 6.7¢
• Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Won
  Yes$162 @ 81.0¢
• Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Lost
  No$322 @ 40.2¢
• Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Won
  Yes$327 @ 54.5¢
• Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$204 @ 68.0¢
• Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Won
  Yes$83 @ 30.0¢
• Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
  Yes$490 @ 37.2¢
• Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Won
  No$49 @ 89.9¢
• Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Won
  No$100 @ 83.0¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$13 @ 12.7¢
• Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Won
  No$170 @ 75.9¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
  No$107 @ 35.0¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
  Yes$55 @ 18.3¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$75 @ 75.4¢
• Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Won
  No$746 @ 74.6¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$300 @ 13.5¢
• Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Won
  Yes$414 @ 82.8¢
• Epstein client list released by June 30?Won
  No$163 @ 81.5¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 51.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
• Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$275 @ 55.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
• Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Lost
  No$147 @ 29.3¢
• Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Won
  Yes$42 @ 30.1¢
• LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsLost
  Karmine Corp$165 @ 55.0¢
• U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 15.0¢
• Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
  No$390 @ 0.9¢
• Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Lost
  Yes$153 @ 17.0¢
• Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Won
  No$170 @ 85.0¢
• Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$161 @ 61.0¢
• Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$147 @ 18.0¢
• Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$185 @ 61.0¢
• Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$103 @ 36.0¢
• LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InLost
  Deep Cross Gaming$103 @ 16.0¢
• Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Won
  Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
• ICE shooter charged by March 31?Won
  No$500 @ 79.6¢
• Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Won
  Yes$16 @ 73.0¢
• Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$75 @ 56.3¢

Current positions

• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
  No$5.2k @ 37.6¢
• Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 89.3¢
• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Politics
  Yes$4.0k @ 65.9¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 87.4¢
• Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 88.0¢
• Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 87.7¢
• Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 92.0¢
• Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 88.7¢
• Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 91.8¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
  No$1.2k @ 97.7¢
• Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 94.0¢
• Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 82.8¢
• Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 95.0¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$984 @ 64.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$950 @ 95.0¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$902 @ 90.2¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$890 @ 92.5¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$871 @ 90.0¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$850 @ 85.0¢
• Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$840 @ 92.0¢
• Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$816 @ 90.4¢
• Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$762 @ 92.7¢
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
  No$755 @ 94.4¢
• Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$753 @ 91.5¢
• Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$702 @ 95.5¢
• Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Politics
  No$685 @ 85.3¢
• Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$662 @ 87.1¢
• Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$652 @ 91.9¢
• Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$610 @ 93.9¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics
  No$579 @ 90.4¢