← Smart money
0xe879…6d22
SharpEdge
+15.0pp
ROI
+40%
Win rate
89% @ 73.9¢
Brier
0.095
Resolved
340
Avg size
$113
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 92% (34/37) | +18% | 37 |
| Politics | 67% (16/24) | +25% | 24 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (6/6) | +26% | 6 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +191% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +31% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Other37 bets
- Hit rate
- 92% (34/37)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (16/24)
- ROI
- +25%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +26%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +191%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +31%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
84% hit · 61/73- No$219 @ 82.8¢
- No$168 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
- No$293 @ 63.8¢
- Yes$793 @ 48.8¢
- Yes$54 @ 88.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 84.0¢
- No$37 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$270 @ 84.4¢
- No$50 @ 84.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 77.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 84.0¢
- No$939 @ 74.4¢
- No$691 @ 73.8¢
- No$104 @ 86.0¢
- No$429 @ 79.1¢
- No$8 @ 82.0¢
- No$3.3k @ 30.5¢
- Aurora Gaming$11 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$50 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$293 @ 55.5¢
- No$584 @ 87.0¢
- No$218 @ 87.7¢
- No$53 @ 87.2¢
- No$797 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 9.8¢
- No$50 @ 78.0¢
- No$210 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 47.9¢
- No$4 @ 86.0¢
- No$307 @ 77.2¢
- Yes$230 @ 14.9¢
- No$138 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 73.0¢
- No$44 @ 88.0¢
- No$50 @ 79.0¢
- No$60 @ 75.5¢
- No$12 @ 80.0¢
- No$397 @ 67.3¢
- No$42 @ 79.3¢
- No$512 @ 85.3¢
- Yes$233 @ 66.4¢
- No$240 @ 75.9¢
- No$74 @ 37.0¢
- No$436 @ 45.6¢
- No$1.2k @ 86.6¢
- No$613 @ 68.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $5.7k | 54.4¢ |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1.0k | 94.5¢ |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | — | No | $697 | 94.2¢ |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30? | — | No | $648 | 94.9¢ |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | — | No | $511 | 95.2¢ |
| Iran full airspace closure by June 30? | — | No | $446 | 93.7¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $194 | 97.1¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | Crypto | No | $128 | 98.2¢ |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Politics | Yes | $77 | 95.4¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Crypto | No | $49 | 82.0¢ |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31? | — | Yes | $46 | 91.2¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | — | No | $19 | 81.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $19 | 85.0¢ |
- Yes$5.7k @ 54.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 94.5¢
- No$697 @ 94.2¢
- No$648 @ 94.9¢
- No$511 @ 95.2¢
- No$446 @ 93.7¢
- No$194 @ 97.1¢
- No$128 @ 98.2¢
- Yes$77 @ 95.4¢
- No$49 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 91.2¢
- No$19 @ 81.0¢
- No$19 @ 85.0¢