← Smart money
0xe76a…37c4
SharpEdge
+32.4pp
ROI
+44%
Win rate
92% @ 59.8¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
307
Avg size
$68
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (8/18) | -64% | 18 |
| Sports | 67% (4/6) | +53% | 6 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +86% | 2 |
- Other18 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (8/18)
- ROI
- -64%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +53%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +86%
Track record
54% hit · 14/26- Argentina$15 @ 75.0¢
- No$68 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$44 @ 25.3¢
- Over$40 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$176 @ 31.5¢
- No$177 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$156 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$653 @ 31.2¢
- Argentina$103 @ 46.3¢
- No$894 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$306 @ 58.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 49.0¢
- Over$6 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$48 @ 57.3¢
- Washington Nationals$4 @ 48.0¢
- No$17.7k @ 61.6¢
- Yes$43 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$93 @ 35.5¢
- Minnesota Twins$4 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 56.0¢
- France$24 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
- Over$184 @ 49.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $385 | 98.8¢ |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | No | $24 | 96.5¢ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $9 | 98.1¢ |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $5 | 97.7¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | No | $4 | 96.2¢ |
- No$385 @ 98.8¢
- No$24 @ 96.5¢
- No$9 @ 98.1¢
- No$5 @ 97.7¢
- No$4 @ 96.2¢