← Smart money
0xe74b…ee88
ProfitableEdge
+13.0pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
55% @ 42.1¢
Brier
0.285
Resolved
520
Avg size
$91
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (83/167) | +8% | 167 |
| Politics | 61% (19/31) | +32% | 31 |
| Sports | 59% (16/27) | +37% | 27 |
| Geopolitics | 29% (2/7) | -42% | 7 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +103% | 2 |
- Other167 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (83/167)
- ROI
- +8%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (19/31)
- ROI
- +32%
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (16/27)
- ROI
- +37%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- -42%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +103%
Track record
52% hit · 121/234- Movistar KOI$271 @ 35.7¢
- Invictus Gaming$259 @ 37.0¢
- JD Gaming$846 @ 76.7¢
- Invictus Gaming$560 @ 56.0¢
- Natus Vincere$248 @ 31.0¢
- Natus Vincere$123 @ 41.0¢
- Natus Vincere$143 @ 43.9¢
- JD Gaming$357 @ 51.0¢
- Team WE$341 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$267 @ 60.0¢
- Top Esports$260 @ 52.0¢
- Top Esports$272 @ 20.0¢
- LGD Gaming$326 @ 38.8¢
- HANJIN BRION$247 @ 41.2¢
- Nongshim Red Force$9 @ 45.0¢
- FURIA Esports$345 @ 69.0¢
- Team Secret $234 @ 27.6¢
- Bilibili Gaming$124 @ 48.8¢
- Top Esports$131 @ 29.9¢
- G2 Esports$125 @ 47.0¢
- FURIA Esports$54 @ 23.0¢
- LOUD$338 @ 42.9¢
- Karmine Corp$369 @ 67.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
- Team WE$285 @ 38.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$302 @ 56.0¢
- Dplus KIA$869 @ 69.2¢
- Movistar KOI Fénix$261 @ 54.0¢
- Dplus KIA$1.0k @ 63.0¢
- GIANTX$879 @ 34.4¢
- Yes$509 @ 23.0¢
- Sentinels$446 @ 52.8¢
- Top Esports$245 @ 35.0¢
- No$748 @ 68.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 46.8¢
- Yes$124 @ 10.3¢
- Winthrop University$259 @ 50.5¢
- KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas$117 @ 39.0¢
- Team WE$250 @ 20.0¢
- T1 Academy$519 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$653 @ 13.9¢
- No$691 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$608 @ 76.0¢
- Team Liquid$1.1k @ 40.4¢
- RED Canids$895 @ 68.7¢
- LYON$644 @ 36.2¢
- T1$14 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$590 @ 36.1¢
- Team WE$422 @ 34.6¢
- G2 Esports$1.0k @ 51.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1.9k | 55.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.7k | 83.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1.5k | 75.2¢ |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | — | Vivo Keyd Stars | $1.3k | 57.6¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | — | No | $1.0k | 77.0¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | — | No | $876 | 61.5¢ |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | — | No | $876 | 62.3¢ |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $383 | 41.1¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $353 | 77.3¢ |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | — | Movistar KOI | $271 | 35.7¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | — | Yes | $252 | 74.0¢ |
- Yes$1.9k @ 55.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 75.2¢
- Vivo Keyd Stars$1.3k @ 57.6¢
- No$1.0k @ 77.0¢
- No$876 @ 61.5¢
- No$876 @ 62.3¢
- Yes$383 @ 41.1¢
- No$353 @ 77.3¢
- Movistar KOI$271 @ 35.7¢
- Yes$252 @ 74.0¢