0xe577…6c42

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe57726b7cfb40056a20e25b526dd2782d0216c42
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.3pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

61% @ 58.2¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

1748

Avg size

$77

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (197/301)	+3%	301
Sports	54% (27/50)	+10%	50
Politics	73% (11/15)	+14%	15
Geopolitics	67% (4/6)	+38%	6
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+0%	4
Tech	100% (3/3)	+26%	3

Other301 bets
Hit rate
65% (197/301)
ROI
+3%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
54% (27/50)
ROI
+10%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
73% (11/15)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+38%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+0%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+26%

Track record

65% hit · 245/379

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	$28	55.0¢	Won
Chiefs vs. Dolphins	Chiefs	$17	84.0¢	Won
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	No	$20	67.3¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Karmine Corp	$27	89.0¢	Won
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$40	11.3¢	Lost
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$15	74.0¢	Won
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	$1.7k	55.7¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$4.5k	85.9¢	Won
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?	Yes	$27	88.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?	No	$33	81.3¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$38	54.3¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	$7	17.0¢	Lost
Will France win?	Yes	$164	81.8¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$48	79.3¢	Won
Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?	Yes	$8	0.8¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$16	20.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$69	74.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	$38	75.7¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.2k	72.5¢	Lost
FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - Winner	PSG	$10	52.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$30	75.3¢	Won
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	No	$226	82.3¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$6	31.0¢	Lost
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$192	36.5¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$1.1k	79.5¢	Won
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$601	82.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$956	16.6¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	No	$3.8k	83.2¢	Won
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	Yes	$5.3k	44.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$261	74.5¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$383	72.0¢	Lost
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$44	11.0¢	Lost
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?	No	$14	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Lost
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?	Yes	$191	76.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$262	87.0¢	Won
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-04?	No	$144	72.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?	Yes	$213	75.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$282	70.5¢	Won
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?	Yes	$116	16.4¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?	Yes	$100	61.9¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	$39	78.8¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$555	68.4¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	$16	78.0¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Vitality	$36	56.5¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$59	29.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	$707	86.5¢	Won

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Won
No$28 @ 55.0¢
Chiefs vs. DolphinsWon
Chiefs$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?Won
No$20 @ 67.3¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Karmine Corp$27 @ 89.0¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$40 @ 11.3¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$15 @ 74.0¢
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 55.7¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$4.5k @ 85.9¢
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Won
Yes$27 @ 88.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Karmine Corp$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Won
No$33 @ 81.3¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$38 @ 54.3¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
G2 Esports$7 @ 17.0¢
Will France win?Won
Yes$164 @ 81.8¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)Won
T1$48 @ 79.3¢
Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$16 @ 20.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$69 @ 74.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Won
Under$38 @ 75.7¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 72.5¢
FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - WinnerWon
PSG$10 @ 52.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$30 @ 75.3¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Won
No$226 @ 82.3¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$6 @ 31.0¢
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$192 @ 36.5¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 79.5¢
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$601 @ 82.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$956 @ 16.6¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Won
No$3.8k @ 83.2¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
Yes$5.3k @ 44.7¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Won
No$261 @ 74.5¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
No$383 @ 72.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Lost
Yes$44 @ 11.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?Won
No$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?Lost
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?Lost
Yes$191 @ 76.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$262 @ 87.0¢
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-04?Won
No$144 @ 72.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?Won
Yes$213 @ 75.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$282 @ 70.5¢
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Lost
Yes$116 @ 16.4¢
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Won
Yes$100 @ 61.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
Gen.G$39 @ 78.8¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$555 @ 68.4¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Movistar KOI$16 @ 78.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Team Vitality$36 @ 56.5¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$59 @ 29.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Won
Yes$707 @ 86.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$2.4k	94.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	60.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$641	35.0¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$551	89.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$496	90.3¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$354	50.6¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$295	57.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$197	86.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$188	94.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$180	90.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$74	43.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$70	87.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$55	96.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$45	89.0¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$2.4k @ 94.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 60.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$641 @ 35.0¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$551 @ 89.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$496 @ 90.3¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$354 @ 50.6¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$295 @ 57.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$197 @ 86.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$188 @ 94.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$180 @ 90.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$74 @ 43.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$70 @ 87.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$55 @ 96.6¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢