← Smart money
0xde58…f55c
ProfitableEdge
-12.8pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
57% @ 69.7¢
Brier
0.263
Resolved
297
Avg size
$750
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 83% (10/12) | +16% | 12 |
| Sports | 67% (4/6) | -4% | 6 |
| Other | 50% (3/6) | -55% | 6 |
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (10/12)
- ROI
- +16%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- -4%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- -55%
Track record
71% hit · 17/24- Yes$32.8k @ 68.1¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 80.4¢
- No$2.2k @ 58.2¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 73.8¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 85.1¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 23.6¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 55.8¢
- Spurs$933 @ 42.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 22.0¢
- Yes$98.6k @ 85.1¢
- Yes$25.1k @ 82.4¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$9.1k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$9.0k @ 81.0¢
- No$3.0k @ 54.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$7.2k @ 20.5¢
- Yes$22.6k @ 72.4¢
- No$2.2k @ 39.0¢
- No$4.9k @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $14.9k | 89.2¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $14.6k | 94.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10.3k | 93.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $8.3k | 75.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $6.7k | 55.2¢ |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | No | $5.2k | 62.6¢ |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4.6k | 82.7¢ |
- Yes$14.9k @ 89.2¢
- No$14.6k @ 94.0¢
- Yes$10.3k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 55.2¢
- No$5.2k @ 62.6¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 82.7¢