0xdd10…416f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdd105a96caea623183c9817efb757bab45ea416f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-6.3pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

30% @ 36.8¢

Brier

0.175

Resolved

1339

Avg size

$141

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (51/105)	+32%	105
Sports	26% (15/57)	-83%	57
Crypto	59% (17/29)	+37%	29
Politics	36% (4/11)	+18%	11
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other105 bets
Hit rate
49% (51/105)
ROI
+32%
Sports57 bets
Hit rate
26% (15/57)
ROI
-83%
Crypto29 bets
Hit rate
59% (17/29)
ROI
+37%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
ROI
+18%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 87/204

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$65	21.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	$1	18.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	$3	85.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $140 in October?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	$3	38.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	Yes	$4	58.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	$4	54.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	$4	71.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	$4	53.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $130 in October?	No	$6	40.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $130 in October?	Yes	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	$3	39.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$12	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	No	$5	33.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	$4	28.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	$6	49.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	$19	60.3¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	$22	64.0¢	Lost
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$297	17.9¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$850	40.6¢	Lost
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$48	2.3¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$7	67.4¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$480	83.6¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$497	85.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	No	$4	82.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	Yes	$3	21.0¢	Won
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	$2	7.1¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	$4	33.0¢	Won
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	$284	71.3¢	Won
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	$91	25.0¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	$98	66.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	$4	49.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	No	$4	69.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	$8	64.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$78	10.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$567	50.3¢	Won
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$6	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$11	74.1¢	Lost
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	$20	3.8¢	Lost
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?	Yes	$0	3.9¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$518	77.5¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$882	23.4¢	Lost

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$65 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?Won
No$1 @ 18.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?Lost
Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?Won
No$3 @ 38.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?Lost
Yes$4 @ 58.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?Won
No$4 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Lost
Yes$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Won
No$4 @ 53.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in October?Won
No$6 @ 40.0¢
Will Solana reach $130 in October?Lost
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Won
No$3 @ 39.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$12 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?Won
No$5 @ 33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Won
No$4 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Won
No$6 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Won
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Lost
No$19 @ 60.3¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Lost
Yes$22 @ 64.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$297 @ 17.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
No$850 @ 40.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$48 @ 2.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$7 @ 67.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$480 @ 83.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$497 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?Lost
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will Solana dip to $100 in October?Won
Yes$3 @ 21.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Lost
No$2 @ 7.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Won
Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Won
No$284 @ 71.3¢
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Lost
Yes$91 @ 25.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Won
No$98 @ 66.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Won
Yes$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?Lost
No$4 @ 69.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Won
Yes$8 @ 64.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$78 @ 10.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$567 @ 50.3¢
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.7¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
No$11 @ 74.1¢
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.8¢
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$518 @ 77.5¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$882 @ 23.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$803	37.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$779	24.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$345	24.2¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	No	$336	58.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	Yes	$268	62.3¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$250	15.0¢
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Politics	Yes	$236	20.6¢
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Politics	No	$230	70.2¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$199	22.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$112	22.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	No	$96	40.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$81	80.8¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Tech	No	$64	65.1¢
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Politics	No	$50	89.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	Yes	$43	49.7¢
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$28	9.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$26	14.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Culture	Yes	$25	4.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Culture	No	$23	93.5¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$23	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$22	27.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$18	53.2¢
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$17	11.4¢
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$17	11.0¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$17	10.5¢
Will Bayern Munich score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	Sports	No	$15	76.0¢
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	Yes	$15	14.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	Sports	No	$14	76.0¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	13.5¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Sports	Yes	$13	8.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$803 @ 37.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$779 @ 24.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$345 @ 24.2¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
No$336 @ 58.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
Yes$268 @ 62.3¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$250 @ 15.0¢
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Politics
Yes$236 @ 20.6¢
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Politics
No$230 @ 70.2¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$199 @ 22.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$112 @ 22.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
No$96 @ 40.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$81 @ 80.8¢
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech
No$64 @ 65.1¢
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
Yes$43 @ 49.7¢
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$28 @ 9.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$26 @ 14.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture
Yes$25 @ 4.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Culture
No$23 @ 93.5¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$23 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$22 @ 27.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$18 @ 53.2¢
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$17 @ 11.4¢
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$17 @ 11.0¢
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$17 @ 10.5¢
Will Bayern Munich score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Sports
No$15 @ 76.0¢
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
Yes$15 @ 14.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Sports
No$14 @ 76.0¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 13.5¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Sports
Yes$13 @ 8.0¢