← Smart money
0xdb3a…d1cc
ProfitableEdge
+3.7pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
42% @ 37.9¢
Brier
0.180
Resolved
4690
Avg size
$78
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 44% (161/363) | +8% | 363 |
| Other | 44% (69/156) | +12% | 156 |
| Politics | 33% (1/3) | +11% | 3 |
- Sports363 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (161/363)
- ROI
- +8%
- Other156 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (69/156)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
44% hit · 231/522- Yes$800 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$321 @ 89.0¢
- Over$367 @ 60.1¢
- Under$26 @ 56.2¢
- Under$50 @ 7.0¢
- No$60 @ 37.9¢
- No$1.6k @ 21.0¢
- Under$318 @ 57.4¢
- No$293 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 80.7¢
- No$2.8k @ 50.3¢
- Under$96 @ 64.3¢
- No$4.9k @ 52.1¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 49.8¢
- Under$11 @ 84.0¢
- Under$367 @ 52.9¢
- Under$579 @ 21.2¢
- No$124 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 63.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 10.2¢
- No$957 @ 52.3¢
- Yes$400 @ 47.0¢
- Over$3.1k @ 47.9¢
- Under$619 @ 84.1¢
- No$11 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 78.0¢
- Over$26 @ 45.6¢
- Under$165 @ 8.0¢
- Over$21 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
- No$247 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 48.4¢
- Yes$814 @ 73.5¢
- Over$20 @ 2.0¢
- Over$22 @ 9.9¢
- No$46 @ 38.0¢
- No$683 @ 64.5¢
- Over$170 @ 36.4¢
- Under$60 @ 22.0¢
- No$5 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$972 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$241 @ 16.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 20.2¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 81.2¢
- Over$461 @ 7.6¢
- No$5 @ 24.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 29.6¢
- Yes$200 @ 54.0¢
- Under$600 @ 36.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? | Sports | Yes | $1.1k | 38.0¢ |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? | Sports | Yes | $457 | 51.7¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? | Sports | No | $75 | 64.0¢ |
- Yes$1.1k @ 38.0¢
- Yes$457 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$200 @ 12.0¢
- No$75 @ 64.0¢