0xdaea…49f9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdaea162c83548ca165d793e75dbb50e5768e49f9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.4pp

ROI

+292%

Win rate

22% @ 8.4¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

Avg size

$28

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	22% (2/9)	+369%	9
Other	67% (2/3)	-31%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics9 bets
Hit rate
22% (2/9)
ROI
+369%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-31%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 4/15

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	$5	12.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$238	1.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$27	13.5¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	1.6¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$51	10.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	$4	68.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$40	20.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	$100	8.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	$347	0.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$146	18.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	$5	57.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	$12	1.0¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	$238	11.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$576	10.8¢	Won
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	Yes	$100	4.3¢	Lost

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Lost
No$5 @ 12.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$238 @ 1.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$27 @ 13.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.6¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Lost
No$51 @ 10.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Won
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$40 @ 20.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Lost
Yes$100 @ 8.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Lost
Yes$347 @ 0.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$146 @ 18.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Won
No$5 @ 57.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Lost
No$12 @ 1.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Won
No$238 @ 11.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$576 @ 10.8¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 4.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$104	2.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$79	3.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$61	24.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$50	0.3¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$32	53.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$16	16.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$15	7.4¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$104 @ 2.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$79 @ 3.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$61 @ 24.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
Yes$50 @ 0.3¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$32 @ 53.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
Yes$16 @ 16.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$15 @ 7.4¢