← Smart money
0xdae6…e440
SharpEdge
+9.1pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
59% @ 50.1¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
1169
Avg size
$95
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (76/138) | +39% | 138 |
| Politics | 44% (16/36) | +68% | 36 |
| Geopolitics | 42% (5/12) | -21% | 12 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -7% | 3 |
- Other138 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (76/138)
- ROI
- +39%
- Politics36 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (16/36)
- ROI
- +68%
- Geopolitics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (5/12)
- ROI
- -21%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -7%
Track record
52% hit · 98/189- Yes$178 @ 7.0¢
- No$202 @ 14.4¢
- No$202 @ 88.0¢
- No$301 @ 85.4¢
- No$391 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$419 @ 61.9¢
- Yes$175 @ 11.4¢
- No$1.1k @ 77.9¢
- Yes$211 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 11.0¢
- No$444 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.2¢
- No$75 @ 82.0¢
- No$155 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$172 @ 40.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 64.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 27.0¢
- No$97 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$150 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$146 @ 81.2¢
- No$325 @ 40.2¢
- No$521 @ 88.9¢
- No$421 @ 74.0¢
- No$376 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$154 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$872 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$365 @ 34.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 19.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 82.1¢
- Yes$618 @ 85.0¢
- No$222 @ 65.6¢
- No$416 @ 73.0¢
- No$191 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$216 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$210 @ 12.9¢
- No$1.9k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$559 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$49 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 62.3¢
- No$82 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$99 @ 75.4¢
- No$5.5k @ 77.2¢
- Yes$405 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 20.7¢
- No$55 @ 73.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $2.4k | 68.2¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $2.3k | 27.2¢ |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | No | $1.1k | 85.3¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $1.1k | 39.7¢ |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $881 | 86.0¢ |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $638 | 49.6¢ |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $422 | 95.1¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $242 | 95.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | No | $207 | 42.9¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $81 | 35.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Business | Yes | $16 | 28.0¢ |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $3 | 26.0¢ |
- No$2.4k @ 68.2¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 27.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 85.3¢
- No$1.1k @ 39.7¢
- Yes$881 @ 86.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$638 @ 49.6¢
- No$422 @ 95.1¢
- Yes$242 @ 95.0¢
- No$207 @ 42.9¢
- Yes$81 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 26.0¢