0xdad7…005a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdad7bf909828fdb0f61afa40c0a269bb5daa005a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

22% @ 15.0¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

554

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	0% (0/18)	-100%	18
Other	0% (0/14)	-100%	14
Geopolitics	8% (1/13)	+73%	13
Tech	8% (1/12)	+4%	12
Science	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Economy	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Culture	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Politics18 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/18)
ROI
-100%
Other14 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/14)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/13)
ROI
+73%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
8% (1/12)
ROI
+4%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

3% hit · 2/73

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	4.6¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	Yes	$104	58.5¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$3	1.9¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$10	5.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$3	1.8¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$214	48.6¢	Won
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$1	6.5¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$23	13.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$27	14.8¢	Won
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$1	6.5¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$13	6.8¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$7	3.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$9	4.8¢	Lost
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	$5	9.5¢	Lost
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Lost
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?	Yes	$0	1.8¢	Lost
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$3	7.9¢	Lost
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	$8	9.1¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$7	7.8¢	Lost
Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost

Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.6¢
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 58.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.9¢
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Won
Yes$214 @ 48.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.5¢
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$23 @ 13.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Won
Yes$27 @ 14.8¢
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.5¢
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 6.8¢
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.8¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.5¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.9¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 9.1¢
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.8¢
Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$467	60.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Economy	Yes	$256	59.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$201	26.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$195	59.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	—	Yes	$150	32.3¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Economy	Yes	$141	32.9¢
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Politics	Yes	$110	23.6¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$98	51.5¢
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Politics	Yes	$85	18.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$67	20.2¢
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Politics	Yes	$59	12.8¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Science	Yes	$56	37.3¢
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?	Economy	Yes	$51	63.9¢
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	—	Yes	$42	9.0¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Science	Yes	$40	26.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$36	11.0¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$36	34.4¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$34	48.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$32	4.2¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$30	29.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$29	3.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$28	29.9¢
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Science	Yes	$26	58.6¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Science	Yes	$26	17.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$25	13.1¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$24	69.5¢
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	Science	Yes	$23	35.0¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$21	32.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Politics	Yes	$20	37.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	21.3¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$467 @ 60.6¢
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy
Yes$256 @ 59.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$201 @ 26.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$195 @ 59.0¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?—
Yes$150 @ 32.3¢
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy
Yes$141 @ 32.9¢
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics
Yes$110 @ 23.6¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$98 @ 51.5¢
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics
Yes$85 @ 18.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$67 @ 20.2¢
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics
Yes$59 @ 12.8¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
Yes$56 @ 37.3¢
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Economy
Yes$51 @ 63.9¢
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?—
Yes$42 @ 9.0¢
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
Yes$40 @ 26.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$36 @ 11.0¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$36 @ 34.4¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$34 @ 48.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$32 @ 4.2¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$30 @ 29.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$29 @ 3.8¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics
Yes$28 @ 29.9¢
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Science
Yes$26 @ 58.6¢
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
Yes$26 @ 17.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$25 @ 13.1¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics
Yes$24 @ 69.5¢
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Science
Yes$23 @ 35.0¢
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$21 @ 32.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics
Yes$20 @ 37.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 21.3¢