0xd902…cdb9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd902d85156fe7b309c12299375c00d86ea83cdb9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.9pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

56% @ 50.0¢

Brier

0.187

Resolved

664

Avg size

$507

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	58% (18/31)	+16%	31
Sports	38% (6/16)	-3%	16
Other	50% (6/12)	+54%	12
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+35%	2

Politics31 bets
Hit rate
58% (18/31)
ROI
+16%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
-3%
Other12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+54%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+35%

Track record

52% hit · 32/61

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3.5k	11.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$446	1.0¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Under	$301	85.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$40.6k	74.9¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$881	16.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$59	19.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$26	22.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.2k	61.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$10.0k	85.2¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$984	11.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$860	21.5¢	Lost
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	39.9¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$2.7k	1.6¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$2.6k	77.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$763	16.8¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	$26	33.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$15.3k	89.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	21.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$23.0k	76.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$37.0k	78.0¢	Won
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$26	22.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$10.7k	81.6¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$14.4k	42.4¢	Won
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5	Over	$20	39.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$3.8k	2.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$7.6k	18.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$1.4k	56.2¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	$9.7k	56.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$12.0k	70.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$2.8k	49.9¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$4.6k	69.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$146	72.4¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$7.5k	74.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$860	43.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$51	62.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$12.7k	67.6¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$750	74.0¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$143	25.8¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$16.7k	63.3¢	Won
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$205	19.0¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$102	19.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	$24	21.2¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$204	38.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$280	40.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$7.2k	62.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$26	28.0¢	Lost
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$4.6k	61.0¢	Won
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$26	11.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	Yes	$21.6k	69.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$7.4k	62.0¢	Won

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 11.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$446 @ 1.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$301 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$40.6k @ 74.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$881 @ 16.0¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$59 @ 19.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$26 @ 22.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 61.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$10.0k @ 85.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$984 @ 11.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$860 @ 21.5¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 39.9¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$2.7k @ 1.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$2.6k @ 77.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$763 @ 16.8¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Won
Yes$26 @ 33.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$15.3k @ 89.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 21.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$23.0k @ 76.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$37.0k @ 78.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$26 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$10.7k @ 81.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$14.4k @ 42.4¢
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$20 @ 39.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$3.8k @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$7.6k @ 18.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 56.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$9.7k @ 56.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$12.0k @ 70.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 49.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
No$4.6k @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$146 @ 72.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
No$7.5k @ 74.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$860 @ 43.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$51 @ 62.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$12.7k @ 67.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$750 @ 74.0¢
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Lost
Yes$143 @ 25.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
No$16.7k @ 63.3¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$205 @ 19.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$102 @ 19.0¢
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$24 @ 21.2¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Won
Yes$204 @ 38.0¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Lost
Yes$280 @ 40.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$7.2k @ 62.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$26 @ 28.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$4.6k @ 61.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$26 @ 11.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Won
Yes$21.6k @ 69.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$7.4k @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	—	Yes	$99	17.1¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?—
Yes$99 @ 17.1¢