0xd726…b5c9

Specialization by sphere

• Other15 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (8/15)

  ROI

  +122%

• Politics14 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (9/14)

  ROI

  +95%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -24%

• Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$331 @ 13.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
  Yes$80 @ 22.0¢
• Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Lost
  Yes$156 @ 38.9¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
  No$650 @ 65.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Won
  No$1.5k @ 72.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 63.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 24.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
  No$2.4k @ 59.3¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
  Yes$380 @ 18.7¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Won
  No$102 @ 17.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 51.3¢
• Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?Won
  Yes$787 @ 25.3¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Won
  Yes$349 @ 25.7¢
• Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Lost
  Yes$152 @ 29.4¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Won
  No$60 @ 11.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 31.6¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Won
  No$964 @ 38.6¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Won
  No$1.3k @ 42.6¢
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Lost
  Yes$158 @ 13.2¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Won
  No$333 @ 41.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
  No$871 @ 29.0¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Lost
  Yes$88 @ 21.9¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Lost
  Yes$294 @ 15.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Lost
  Yes$882 @ 36.3¢
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Lost
  Yes$2.8k @ 28.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?Won
  No$393 @ 45.0¢
• Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
  Yes$109 @ 9.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Won
  No$200 @ 65.0¢
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Won
  Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Won
  Yes$299 @ 52.0¢
• Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Lost
  No$106 @ 15.3¢

Current positions

• Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$8.1k @ 78.7¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.5k @ 37.5¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$3.0k @ 37.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 55.8¢
• Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.2k @ 22.5¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 65.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$906 @ 33.8¢
• Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?Geopolitics
  Yes$376 @ 31.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  Yes$331 @ 33.1¢
• Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$215 @ 11.0¢
• Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢