0xd67b…5780

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other345 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (181/345)

  ROI

  +23%

• Politics191 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (87/191)

  ROI

  +21%

• Geopolitics60 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (28/60)

  ROI

  -6%

• Sports9 bets

  Hit rate

  11% (1/9)

  ROI

  -54%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Lost
  No$732 @ 61.5¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 83.0¢
• Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$281 @ 56.2¢
• Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
  Yes$185 @ 12.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$298 @ 48.3¢
• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
  No$870 @ 72.5¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 1.9¢
• Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 6.9¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 64.6¢
• U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
  Yes$1.6k @ 76.6¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$832 @ 9.6¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
  Yes$4.1k @ 40.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.7k @ 56.3¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$569 @ 37.3¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$54 @ 7.6¢
• Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreLost
  No$211 @ 41.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$3.9k @ 85.2¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Lost
  Yes$359 @ 13.7¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$5.6k @ 86.4¢
• Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?Won
  Yes$31 @ 42.0¢
• Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 1.1¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
  No$933 @ 81.9¢
• Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?Lost
  No$40 @ 35.2¢
• Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Lost
  Yes$603 @ 38.9¢
• France leading at halftime?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 42.9¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
  Yes$57 @ 7.2¢
• Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$218 @ 29.1¢
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
  No$2.8k @ 56.7¢
• Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Lost
  Yes$214 @ 30.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$396 @ 39.6¢
• Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
  Yes$161 @ 5.5¢
• Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?Lost
  No$47 @ 11.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$5.4k @ 66.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4.5k @ 40.1¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
  No$819 @ 46.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$193 @ 44.2¢
• Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$533 @ 59.0¢
• Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$99 @ 80.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 6.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$820 @ 82.0¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Lost
  Yes$127 @ 7.1¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$5.6k @ 41.8¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$1.2k @ 82.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
  Yes$2.2k @ 21.1¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Won
  No$1.8k @ 36.1¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$945 @ 63.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
  Yes$748 @ 36.8¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 62.8¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
  No$500 @ 12.0¢

Current positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$9.0k @ 89.8¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.1k @ 82.6¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 90.0¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 87.3¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 34.3¢
• Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 82.9¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$870 @ 87.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$793 @ 82.0¢
• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$760 @ 88.3¢
• Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$420 @ 84.0¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics
  No$366 @ 18.3¢
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Politics
  Yes$303 @ 28.1¢
• Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics
  Yes$137 @ 7.6¢
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Politics
  Yes$130 @ 10.8¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$46 @ 10.4¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$10 @ 24.0¢
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?Geopolitics
  Yes$8 @ 29.8¢
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by September 30?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28?Geopolitics
  Yes$1 @ 27.0¢