0xd673…2305

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd673df94d847898102c8eec850ccc606793c2305
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

67% @ 61.3¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

404

Avg size

$15

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (105/156)	+3%	156
Sports	71% (40/56)	+24%	56
Politics	70% (31/44)	+23%	44
Geopolitics	67% (6/9)	+9%	9
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+252%	3
Tech	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Other156 bets
Hit rate
67% (105/156)
ROI
+3%
Sports56 bets
Hit rate
71% (40/56)
ROI
+24%
Politics44 bets
Hit rate
70% (31/44)
ROI
+23%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
67% (6/9)
ROI
+9%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+252%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Track record

69% hit · 185/269

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	$60	99.0¢	Won
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?	No	$30	99.9¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1	85.0¢	Won
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	$4	49.0¢	Lost
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez	Yannick Hanfmann	$3	52.0¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	$5	62.0¢	Won
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	No	$50	84.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$50	42.0¢	Won
Will AA Internacional Limeira SP win on 2026-09-20?	No	$30	83.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	$7	65.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Conventus Stellarum	$51	74.0¢	Lost
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	No	$7	81.8¢	Won
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$4	71.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$111	84.4¢	Won
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$7	60.1¢	Lost
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	$61	54.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	74.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$12	27.7¢	Lost
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Won
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	$54	83.0¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$9	84.9¢	Won
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner	Team Cobra	$103	38.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Conventus Stellarum	$84	78.7¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$50	78.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	$51	80.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$10	72.0¢	Won
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	$103	41.0¢	Won
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	$1	74.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	$5	46.0¢	Lost
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robert Whittaker	$51	55.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	$31	50.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$10	60.0¢	Lost
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	NightBirds	$4	84.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Team Nemesis	$31	35.0¢	Won
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Under	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$51	78.9¢	Won
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	$31	35.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Julia Polastri	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	$30	80.0¢	Won
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$3	57.3¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$2	80.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$4	78.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Pipsqueak+4	$4	70.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$80	86.0¢	Won
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry	Alexander Bublik	$3	61.0¢	Won
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner	1win	$4	77.0¢	Won

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
No$60 @ 99.0¢
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?Won
No$30 @ 99.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian BaezLost
Sebastian Baez$4 @ 49.0¢
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian BaezWon
Yannick Hanfmann$3 @ 52.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
GIANTX$5 @ 62.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Won
No$50 @ 84.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$50 @ 42.0¢
Will AA Internacional Limeira SP win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$30 @ 83.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Yandex$7 @ 65.0¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLost
Conventus Stellarum$51 @ 74.0¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Won
No$7 @ 81.8¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$111 @ 84.4¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 60.1¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLost
LGD Gaming$61 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$12 @ 27.7¢
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?Won
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Won
Yes$54 @ 83.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$9 @ 84.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$3 @ 29.0¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Cobra$103 @ 38.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Lost
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Conventus Stellarum$84 @ 78.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$50 @ 78.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 WinnerWon
Xtreme Gaming$51 @ 80.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$10 @ 72.0¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Nemesis$103 @ 41.0¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$5 @ 46.0¢
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Robert Whittaker$51 @ 55.0¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
LGD Gaming$31 @ 50.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonWon
NightBirds$4 @ 84.0¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Nemesis$31 @ 35.0¢
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Lost
Under$5 @ 44.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
No$51 @ 78.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerLost
GamerLegion$31 @ 35.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Lost
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Lost
Julia Polastri$1 @ 68.0¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerWon
LGD Gaming$30 @ 80.0¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$3 @ 57.3¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$2 @ 80.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
Pipsqueak+4$4 @ 70.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$80 @ 86.0¢
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas EtcheverryWon
Alexander Bublik$3 @ 61.0¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerWon
1win$4 @ 77.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Politics	No	$60	86.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$60	71.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?	Tech	No	$30	96.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	Tech	No	$30	95.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	Other	No	$30	95.7¢
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026?	Politics	No	$30	93.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	Tech	No	$30	88.0¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$30	85.7¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Politics	No	$30	85.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$30	71.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
No$60 @ 86.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$60 @ 71.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?Tech
No$30 @ 96.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?Tech
No$30 @ 95.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Other
No$30 @ 95.7¢
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 1, 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 93.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Tech
No$30 @ 88.0¢
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 85.7¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics
No$30 @ 85.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 71.0¢