0xd44e…67e2

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics32 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (19/32)

  ROI

  +21%

• Other10 bets

  Hit rate

  30% (3/10)

  ROI

  -1%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -4%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +270%

• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$830 @ 83.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$11.5k @ 86.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$7.9k @ 70.8¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$17.4k @ 70.3¢
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$863 @ 13.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 54.6¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$15 @ 70.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$2.3k @ 49.5¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Won
  No$3.5k @ 84.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
  Yes$4.4k @ 20.1¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$3.1k @ 46.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$42 @ 12.8¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.6k @ 60.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3.1k @ 26.1¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
  No$12.2k @ 37.7¢
• Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$55 @ 65.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$800 @ 80.0¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Lost
  No$4.4k @ 39.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
  Yes$500 @ 25.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.6k @ 88.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$3.5k @ 49.9¢
• US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 41.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  No$56 @ 58.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$8.1k @ 76.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$6.4k @ 50.7¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Lost
  No$10.0k @ 58.7¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Lost
  No$2.0k @ 56.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$5.6k @ 54.7¢
• Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Won
  No$200 @ 33.8¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$17.6k @ 66.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 61.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$3.5k @ 43.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
  Yes$229 @ 8.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Won
  No$51 @ 81.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Won
  Yes$3.3k @ 42.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 42.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 31.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$10.7k @ 51.5¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$537 @ 67.1¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$512 @ 80.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Won
  No$3.7k @ 42.3¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Lost
  Yes$470 @ 47.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 26.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$6.6k @ 26.3¢
• UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
  Justin Gaethje$276 @ 27.0¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Lost
  No$6.4k @ 24.1¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$30.0k @ 54.5¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  No$28.8k @ 76.6¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$27.4k @ 73.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$26.1k @ 74.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
  No$16.1k @ 91.3¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$13.1k @ 85.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$12.8k @ 79.5¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$10.0k @ 89.6¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$9.9k @ 63.6¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?—
  No$9.1k @ 47.3¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$8.7k @ 78.1¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$6.3k @ 67.3¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics
  No$5.1k @ 55.4¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.9k @ 45.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?—
  No$4.7k @ 59.1¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$4.3k @ 50.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.8k @ 76.5¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 87.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 55.0¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 61.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 64.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?—
  No$1.9k @ 65.5¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?—
  No$1.5k @ 66.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?—
  No$1.3k @ 44.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?—
  No$1.3k @ 39.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?—
  No$1.2k @ 68.6¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.1k @ 37.7¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?—
  No$745 @ 49.7¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?—
  No$741 @ 80.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$656 @ 97.7¢