0xd44e…67e2

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other246 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (143/246)

  ROI

  +19%

• Politics113 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (86/113)

  ROI

  +29%

• Geopolitics25 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (19/25)

  ROI

  +19%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +270%

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$548 @ 84.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.6k @ 67.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.7k @ 64.0¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Won
  No$745 @ 49.7¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$223 @ 42.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$12.8k @ 79.5¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Lost
  No$9.1k @ 47.3¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$2.6k @ 81.2¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Won
  No$2 @ 48.0¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Won
  No$724 @ 72.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$11.8k @ 77.2¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 36.2¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
  No$830 @ 83.0¢
• Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Won
  No$266 @ 57.2¢
• Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?Lost
  Yes$325 @ 4.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31?Won
  No$2.8k @ 82.4¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Won
  No$74 @ 74.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$445 @ 34.7¢
• Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Won
  No$534 @ 46.8¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$11.5k @ 86.0¢
• Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Won
  No$63 @ 51.4¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? Won
  No$774 @ 77.3¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$5.8k @ 66.5¢
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?Won
  No$81 @ 53.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.4k @ 62.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 80.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$822 @ 68.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 28.4¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
  No$312 @ 47.1¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$782 @ 30.0¢
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
  No$7 @ 42.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
  No$254 @ 62.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 1?Won
  No$36 @ 52.3¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Lost
  Yes$248 @ 56.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$14.4k @ 47.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$7.9k @ 70.8¢
• Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Lost
  Yes$540 @ 26.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$4.1k @ 84.1¢
• Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Lost
  No$100 @ 24.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$8.8k @ 48.8¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$2.7k @ 71.0¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
  No$5.1k @ 36.3¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
  No$901 @ 24.3¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$17.4k @ 70.3¢
• Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Won
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$8.9k @ 35.4¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$341 @ 54.6¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$15.3k @ 84.5¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$234 @ 72.3¢
• Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Lost
  No$176 @ 41.7¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$30.0k @ 54.5¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$28.8k @ 76.6¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$27.4k @ 73.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$26.1k @ 74.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
  No$17.6k @ 91.3¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$12.7k @ 85.7¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$10.0k @ 89.6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$8.5k @ 79.9¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$7.7k @ 63.6¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$6.8k @ 80.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$6.5k @ 60.1¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.7k @ 78.5¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$4.0k @ 81.3¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$3.6k @ 48.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 73.7¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 87.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 55.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$3.2k @ 67.7¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 60.9¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 61.4¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 72.2¢
• NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 96.0¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 39.8¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.5k @ 66.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 67.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 48.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 62.2¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$894 @ 45.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Politics
  Yes$645 @ 43.0¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$620 @ 62.0¢