← Smart money
0xd1a9…d486
ProfitableEdge
+16.6pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
53% @ 36.4¢
Brier
0.402
Resolved
200
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 29% (4/14) | +18% | 14 |
| Politics | 50% (4/8) | +48% | 8 |
- Other14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +48%
Track record
36% hit · 8/22- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- No$4 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$26 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 65.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
- No$28 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$138 @ 54.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$324 @ 55.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$192 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYes$222 @ 21.5¢
- Yes$198 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?PoliticsNo$5 @ 50.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?PoliticsNo$5 @ 50.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?PoliticsNo$5 @ 50.0¢
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 10.2¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?PoliticsYes$2 @ 12.5¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?PoliticsYes$1 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?PoliticsYes$0 @ 12.5¢