0xd133…ef27

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-11.1pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

37% @ 48.1¢

Brier

0.204

Resolved

4804

Avg size

$100

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	49% (71/144)	-4%	144
Other	44% (62/141)	+15%	141
Politics	31% (4/13)	-45%	13
Crypto	20% (1/5)	-47%	5
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	+9%	3

Sports144 bets
Hit rate
49% (71/144)
ROI
-4%
Other141 bets
Hit rate
44% (62/141)
ROI
+15%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
-45%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-47%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+9%

Track record

46% hit · 140/306

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$258	25.5¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$124	50.1¢	Won
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 8.5	Over	$41	0.9¢	Lost
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	Yes	$2.2k	71.7¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Under	$205	23.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$756	60.3¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	$129	94.0¢	Won
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	$301	65.0¢	Lost
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 0.5	Under	$575	20.9¢	Lost
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$43	17.5¢	Lost
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$4	0.3¢	Lost
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$483	21.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$17	63.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$258	36.9¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	20.4¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$109	4.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$24	1.1¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$32.2k	75.4¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1.4k	58.6¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$198	80.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$8.5k	80.4¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$29.1k	17.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$4.0k	26.5¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$20	66.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$66	84.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$43	11.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$212	26.1¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$486	72.0¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$198	29.0¢	Lost
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	Yes	$142	26.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$3.0k	71.8¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$2.8k	30.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$339	84.2¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$59	32.0¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$98	61.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$372	18.8¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$10	64.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$18	24.7¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$1.0k	39.4¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$126	4.8¢	Lost
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$5.7k	69.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$23	0.4¢	Lost
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	86.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$67	28.0¢	Lost
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$40	4.8¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	$759	72.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$2.5k	29.0¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	$229	61.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$1.0k	56.5¢	Won

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$258 @ 25.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$124 @ 50.1¢
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$41 @ 0.9¢
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 71.7¢
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$205 @ 23.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$756 @ 60.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETWon
Up$129 @ 94.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?Lost
Yes$301 @ 65.0¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$575 @ 20.9¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$43 @ 17.5¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Lost
No$4 @ 0.3¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$483 @ 21.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$17 @ 63.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$258 @ 36.9¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 20.4¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$109 @ 4.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$24 @ 1.1¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$32.2k @ 75.4¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 58.6¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$198 @ 80.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$8.5k @ 80.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$29.1k @ 17.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 26.5¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$20 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$66 @ 84.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$43 @ 11.2¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$212 @ 26.1¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$486 @ 72.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$198 @ 29.0¢
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Lost
Yes$142 @ 26.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$3.0k @ 71.8¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 30.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$339 @ 84.2¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$59 @ 32.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$98 @ 61.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$372 @ 18.8¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$18 @ 24.7¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 39.4¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$126 @ 4.8¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 69.9¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$23 @ 0.4¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 86.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$67 @ 28.0¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Lost
Yes$40 @ 4.8¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Lost
No$759 @ 72.0¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 29.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsWon
Hanwha Life Esports$229 @ 61.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 56.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$120	37.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$79	74.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$70	23.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.0¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
Yes$120 @ 37.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$79 @ 74.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$70 @ 23.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢