← Smart money
0xd133…ef27
ProfitableEdge
+8.1pp
ROI
+38%
Win rate
42% @ 34.0¢
Brier
0.226
Resolved
1341
Avg size
$78
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 35% (11/31) | +51% | 31 |
| Sports | 38% (8/21) | +9% | 21 |
| Politics | 25% (1/4) | -45% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +72% | 1 |
- Other31 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (11/31)
- ROI
- +51%
- Sports21 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (8/21)
- ROI
- +9%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -45%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +72%
Track record
37% hit · 21/57- Invictus Gaming$499 @ 57.0¢
- Top Esports$80 @ 41.0¢
- No$4 @ 0.3¢
- No$5 @ 82.7¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 31.3¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 26.5¢
- No$339 @ 84.2¢
- Yes$94 @ 61.0¢
- Hanwha Life Esports$229 @ 61.0¢
- No$450 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 36.1¢
- Yes$418 @ 6.0¢
- No$127 @ 75.6¢
- Yes$91 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$114 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$288 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$948 @ 30.4¢
- No$106 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 22.2¢
- Argentina$18.3k @ 46.3¢
- England$2.2k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$12.5k @ 58.1¢
- No$72 @ 8.4¢
- No$108 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 79.3¢
- Yes$85 @ 0.3¢
- No$569 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 38.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$537 @ 27.6¢
- Song Yadong$75 @ 16.5¢
- Dplus KIA$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$2.3k @ 73.9¢
- Yes$24.1k @ 31.7¢
- Yes$431 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 11.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$47 @ 0.8¢
- No$776 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$8.0k @ 35.6¢
- Yes$831 @ 42.5¢
- LNG Esports$75 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 50.9¢
- No$149 @ 16.6¢
- No$96 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$500 @ 31.8¢
- No$26 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$73 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$907 @ 19.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $258 | 25.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $120 | 37.1¢ |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $79 | 74.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Tech | Yes | $70 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 50.1¢ |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ |
- Yes$258 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$120 @ 37.1¢
- Yes$79 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$70 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 50.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢