← Smart money
0xcf18…8a0d
SharpEdge
+19.9pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
66% @ 46.1¢
Brier
0.215
Resolved
311
Avg size
$55
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 52% (16/31) | +29% | 31 |
| Politics | 50% (9/18) | -1% | 18 |
| Crypto | 50% (2/4) | +98% | 4 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +186% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other31 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (16/31)
- ROI
- +29%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (9/18)
- ROI
- -1%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +98%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +186%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 28/55- No$507 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$98 @ 16.1¢
- No$92 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$426 @ 28.5¢
- No$31 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$208 @ 25.0¢
- No$300 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.0¢
- No$386 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 23.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 73.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 41.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 10.2¢
- No$198 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 13.0¢
- No$704 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$376 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$285 @ 33.2¢
- No$912 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 71.1¢
- No$37 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$46 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 5.9¢
- No$162 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 21.0¢
- No$689 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$191 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.6¢
- No$163 @ 41.2¢
- Yes$161 @ 14.2¢
- No$94 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$450 @ 44.5¢
- No$75 @ 40.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 42.7¢
- No$1.4k @ 71.9¢
- Yes$88 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 33.0¢
- No$85 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 54.8¢
- Yes$47 @ 7.0¢
- No$8 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$120 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
- No$60 @ 44.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $4.4k | 78.6¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | No | $794 | 63.9¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $374 | 34.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $197 | 25.0¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | No | $157 | 83.1¢ |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | — | No | $56 | 45.0¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $13 | 42.0¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $12 | 91.5¢ |
- No$4.4k @ 78.6¢
- No$794 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$374 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$197 @ 25.0¢
- No$157 @ 83.1¢
- No$56 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$12 @ 91.5¢