← Smart money
0xcf18…8a0d
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
60% @ 47.7¢
Brier
0.206
Resolved
839
Avg size
$65
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (53/98) | +14% | 98 |
| Politics | 51% (25/49) | +11% | 49 |
| Sports | 40% (6/15) | +7% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (2/6) | -65% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (2/4) | +98% | 4 |
- Other98 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (53/98)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics49 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (25/49)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (6/15)
- ROI
- +7%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -65%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +98%
Track record
51% hit · 88/172- No$256 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$826 @ 42.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 67.1¢
- No$368 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$36 @ 71.0¢
- No$154 @ 94.7¢
- No$275 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
- No$55 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$498 @ 91.1¢
- No$489 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$395 @ 27.2¢
- No$153 @ 15.5¢
- No$1.4k @ 83.4¢
- No$507 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$98 @ 16.1¢
- No$92 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$426 @ 28.5¢
- No$50 @ 15.0¢
- No$701 @ 82.4¢
- Yes$44 @ 3.8¢
- No$3.4k @ 86.2¢
- No$31 @ 83.6¢
- Yes$208 @ 25.0¢
- No$300 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.0¢
- No$7 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$83 @ 68.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 74.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 87.4¢
- Yes$134 @ 81.1¢
- No$449 @ 89.7¢
- No$462 @ 83.5¢
- No$386 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$49 @ 23.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 79.4¢
- No$2.4k @ 73.5¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 41.9¢
- No$442 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$580 @ 61.7¢
- No$1.1k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$268 @ 31.7¢
- No$198 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$226 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$321 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$109 @ 13.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $6.1k | 79.9¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $4.3k | 67.4¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $700 | 63.0¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | No | $606 | 84.0¢ |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $447 | 90.2¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $101 | 93.0¢ |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Culture | No | $98 | 88.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $42 | 64.5¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $10 | 91.5¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 24.0¢ |
- No$6.1k @ 79.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 67.4¢
- No$700 @ 63.0¢
- No$606 @ 84.0¢
- No$447 @ 90.2¢
- No$101 @ 93.0¢
- No$98 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 64.5¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$10 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 24.0¢