0xced4…5055

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xced4a8473c21e7f37114f22bb6d718b9f8025055
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.2pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

24% @ 11.8¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

355

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	28% (10/36)	+23%	36
Sports	24% (7/29)	+127%	29
Crypto	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other36 bets
Hit rate
28% (10/36)
ROI
+23%
Sports29 bets
Hit rate
24% (7/29)
ROI
+127%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

24% hit · 17/72

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	$21	20.0¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5	Over	$9	9.0¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $1.15 on June 3?	Yes	$17	2.9¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5	Over	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Over	$16	32.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?	No	$38	6.0¢	Lost
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$498	12.5¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	5.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$48	22.1¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$80	8.9¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5	Over	$89	17.8¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$41	12.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?	No	$8	7.5¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$92	25.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?	No	$33	2.4¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$3	4.4¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$22	7.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?	Yes	$20	2.2¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$28	28.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?	No	$32	5.1¢	Lost
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$5	2.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?	No	$479	4.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5	Over	$29	2.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18?	No	$843	10.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?	No	$172	5.4¢	Lost
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5	Over	$59	11.9¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$15	7.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?	Yes	$125	33.3¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$100	8.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?	No	$1.0k	16.2¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5	Over	$20	10.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$51	15.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$100	20.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$15	7.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$26	23.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	$560	12.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5	Over	$14	14.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$137	18.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$7	1.9¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5	Over	$88	14.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?	No	$28	2.1¢	Lost
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?	Yes	$3	0.7¢	Lost
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	Over	$26	5.8¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Over	$19	18.8¢	Won

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-08-11?Lost
Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$9 @ 9.0¢
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5Won
Over$9 @ 9.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.15 on June 3?Lost
Yes$17 @ 2.9¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$12 @ 12.0¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$16 @ 32.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?Lost
No$38 @ 6.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$498 @ 12.5¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 5.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$48 @ 22.1¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$80 @ 8.9¢
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$89 @ 17.8¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Over$41 @ 12.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Won
No$8 @ 7.5¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$92 @ 25.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?Lost
No$33 @ 2.4¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.4¢
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Lost
Yes$22 @ 7.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.2¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Lost
Yes$28 @ 28.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?Lost
No$32 @ 5.1¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?Lost
No$479 @ 4.0¢
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$29 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18?Lost
No$843 @ 10.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?Lost
No$172 @ 5.4¢
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$59 @ 11.9¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$15 @ 7.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?Lost
Yes$125 @ 33.3¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$100 @ 8.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?Lost
No$1.0k @ 16.2¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5Won
Over$20 @ 10.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$51 @ 15.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$15 @ 7.5¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$26 @ 23.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?Lost
No$560 @ 12.0¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$14 @ 14.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Won
Over$137 @ 18.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.9¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Lost
Over$88 @ 14.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?Lost
No$28 @ 2.1¢
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$26 @ 5.8¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$19 @ 18.8¢

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