0xcb59…0a22

Specialization by sphere

• Politics25 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (13/25)

  ROI

  +7%

• Other11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  +45%

• Tech7 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  +37%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +166%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?Won
  Yes$40 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$830 @ 35.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$19.7k @ 25.7¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$586 @ 73.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Won
  No$0 @ 89.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
  Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.5k @ 15.5¢
• Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Won
  No$3.9k @ 87.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$5.8k @ 82.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$480 @ 16.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
  No$425 @ 89.6¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$10.7k @ 85.2¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$6.7k @ 41.7¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$256 @ 11.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$14.7k @ 37.3¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.8k @ 71.3¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?Won
  No$121 @ 60.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
  Yes$4.5k @ 25.2¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Tuition" in Michigan?Won
  No$10 @ 72.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 30.7¢
• Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Won
  Yes$483 @ 87.0¢
• Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Won
  No$714 @ 87.0¢
• Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 13.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$454 @ 36.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$30.0k @ 50.3¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Michigan?Won
  Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
  Yes$523 @ 87.2¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 36.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6.8k @ 56.4¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$240 @ 72.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
  No$3.3k @ 44.3¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Lost
  Yes$716 @ 62.2¢
• Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  Yes$5.3k @ 48.1¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$15.4k @ 64.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Won
  No$12.6k @ 85.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 2.3¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$19.7k @ 65.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Lost
  No$85 @ 17.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
  No$167 @ 1.8¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
  Yes$648 @ 64.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
  No$15 @ 87.2¢
• Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
  No$4.4k @ 59.0¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Lost
  No$48 @ 16.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
  No$2.3k @ 62.8¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "ICE" 3+ times in Michigan?Won
  No$91 @ 86.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Lost
  Yes$365 @ 3.4¢

Current positions

• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$24.6k @ 89.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
  No$6.0k @ 99.7¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.7k @ 84.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$4.9k @ 64.9¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  Yes$4.3k @ 43.5¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$3.3k @ 99.2¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$3.3k @ 99.1¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 99.3¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Tech
  No$2.2k @ 91.9¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$1.3k @ 97.9¢
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics
  Yes$817 @ 81.7¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?Tech
  No$579 @ 97.0¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  Yes$398 @ 78.0¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Tech
  No$292 @ 97.4¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$160 @ 53.4¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
  Yes$118 @ 43.0¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$92 @ 34.6¢
• Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics
  No$43 @ 54.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$21 @ 82.1¢