0xcb01…7dfb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcb016f2b417f98c88fc91fffe7e69d4a6b1c7dfb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.6pp

ROI

+159%

Win rate

18% @ 10.6¢

Brier

0.082

Resolved

639

Avg size

$22

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	29% (158/544)	+14%	544
Other	20% (32/163)	-7%	163
Politics	50% (30/60)	+7%	60
Culture	17% (1/6)	-40%	6

Sports544 bets
Hit rate
29% (158/544)
ROI
+14%
Other163 bets
Hit rate
20% (32/163)
ROI
-7%
Politics60 bets
Hit rate
50% (30/60)
ROI
+7%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-40%

Track record

29% hit · 221/773

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?	No	$22	3.0¢	Lost
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$178	89.0¢	Lost
Will India win on 2026-10-06?	No	$116	97.0¢	Won
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Thiago Cigarran	Miguel Tobon	$19	94.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	$35	3.5¢	Lost
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$960	4.0¢	Won
Will Helmond Sport vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?	No	$23	7.0¢	Lost
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$14	78.0¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs	Solary	$6	2.0¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$7	0.2¢	Lost
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$8	4.7¢	Lost
Jazz vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$21	4.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	FaZe	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Elena Rybakina	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	No	$13	2.0¢	Lost
Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo win on 2026-10-04?	No	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	$35	18.0¢	Lost
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$164	81.0¢	Won
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?	No	$6	3.0¢	Lost
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	$56	5.2¢	Lost
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	GamerLegion	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Ohio State vs. Iowa	Iowa	$45	5.6¢	Lost
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$25	4.0¢	Lost
Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	No	$7	4.0¢	Lost
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Austria end in a draw?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Nicolas Mejia	Chun-Hsin Tseng	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$19	6.4¢	Lost
Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-04?	No	$7	4.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Luminosity	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Wuning 3: Kristjan Tamm vs Martin Borisiouk	Kristjan Tamm	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Titans vs. Ravens	Ravens	$89	86.0¢	Won
Titans vs. Ravens	Titans	$47	4.8¢	Lost
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games Playoffs	Chinese Taipei	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	$425	85.0¢	Won
Antofagasta: Lucio Ratti vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	$2	2.1¢	Lost
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech	$129	80.0¢	Lost
Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De Cuyper	Julien De Cuyper	$2	1.1¢	Lost
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Khaos Williams	$25	5.3¢	Lost
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Roberto Soldic	$537	89.0¢	Won
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	No	$7	8.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	No	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$358	89.0¢	Won
Will Anguilla win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost

Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?Lost
No$22 @ 3.0¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?Lost
Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
Will India win on 2026-10-06?Won
No$116 @ 97.0¢
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Thiago CigarranWon
Miguel Tobon$19 @ 94.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$35 @ 3.5¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$960 @ 4.0¢
Will Helmond Sport vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?Lost
No$23 @ 7.0¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$14 @ 78.0¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsLost
Solary$6 @ 2.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 0.2¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.7¢
Jazz vs. NuggetsLost
Nuggets$21 @ 4.0¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsLost
FaZe$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢
China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina CharaevaLost
Elena Rybakina$4 @ 0.1¢
Will England win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$13 @ 2.0¢
Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo win on 2026-10-04?Lost
No$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Celta Fortuna win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$35 @ 18.0¢
Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$164 @ 81.0¢
Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-04?Lost
No$6 @ 3.0¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Wang Cong$56 @ 5.2¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierLost
GamerLegion$2 @ 2.0¢
Ohio State vs. IowaLost
Iowa$45 @ 5.6¢
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$25 @ 4.0¢
Will Greece vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Lost
No$7 @ 4.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Austria end in a draw?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta DreamLost
New York Liberty$4 @ 1.3¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Nicolas MejiaLost
Chun-Hsin Tseng$1 @ 5.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$19 @ 6.4¢
Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-04?Lost
No$7 @ 4.0¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsLost
Luminosity$1 @ 3.0¢
Wuning 3: Kristjan Tamm vs Martin BorisioukLost
Kristjan Tamm$2 @ 1.1¢
Titans vs. RavensWon
Ravens$89 @ 86.0¢
Titans vs. RavensLost
Titans$47 @ 4.8¢
LoL: Chinese Taipei vs South Korea (BO5) - Asian Games PlayoffsLost
Chinese Taipei$2 @ 2.4¢
Cowboys vs. TexansWon
Cowboys$425 @ 85.0¢
Antofagasta: Lucio Ratti vs Joao Victor Couto LoureiroLost
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin HalysLost
Quentin Halys$2 @ 2.1¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia TechLost
Virginia Tech$129 @ 80.0¢
Wuning 3: Max Purcell vs Julien De CuyperLost
Julien De Cuyper$2 @ 1.1¢
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Khaos Williams$25 @ 5.3¢
UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Roberto Soldic$537 @ 89.0¢
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?Lost
No$7 @ 8.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?Lost
No$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$358 @ 89.0¢
Will Anguilla win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$67.8k	94.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$30.9k	41.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$21.4k	96.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$18.4k	64.8¢
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$16.9k	93.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$10.8k	55.6¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$10.7k	93.5¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$9.5k	3.6¢
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Sports	No	$8.9k	87.8¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$7.8k	87.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$6.8k	7.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$5.2k	17.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	68.8¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$3.8k	89.2¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$3.4k	97.2¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	No	$2.4k	95.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$2.4k	88.5¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$1.6k	93.9¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$1.5k	12.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$1.3k	34.0¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	4.7¢
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Sports	No	$1.1k	86.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	29.2¢
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	45.4¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$1.1k	7.0¢
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Sports	No	$1.0k	92.5¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$956	3.2¢
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$899	91.2¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$894	17.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$859	94.1¢

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$67.8k @ 94.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$30.9k @ 41.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$21.4k @ 96.1¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$18.4k @ 64.8¢
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$16.9k @ 93.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$10.8k @ 55.6¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$10.7k @ 93.5¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$9.5k @ 3.6¢
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Sports
No$8.9k @ 87.8¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$7.8k @ 87.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$6.8k @ 7.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$5.2k @ 17.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 68.8¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$3.8k @ 89.2¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$3.4k @ 97.2¢
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Sports
No$2.4k @ 95.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$2.4k @ 88.5¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$1.6k @ 93.9¢
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$1.5k @ 12.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$1.3k @ 34.0¢
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 4.7¢
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Sports
No$1.1k @ 86.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 29.2¢
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 45.4¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$1.1k @ 7.0¢
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Sports
No$1.0k @ 92.5¢
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$956 @ 3.2¢
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
No$899 @ 91.2¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$894 @ 17.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$859 @ 94.1¢