0xca1f…d282

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other126 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (102/126)

  ROI

  +14%

• Science53 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (43/53)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (11/24)

  ROI

  -4%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +18%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +19%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +34%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +22%

• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?Won
  No$19 @ 71.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?Won
  No$16 @ 79.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
  No$36 @ 89.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Lost
  No$6 @ 60.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?Won
  No$46 @ 78.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Won
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?Won
  No$12 @ 59.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$18 @ 88.0¢
• Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Won
  No$54 @ 88.8¢
• Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Won
  No$80 @ 56.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Lost
  No$4 @ 28.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?Won
  No$32 @ 78.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 23?Lost
  No$25 @ 61.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 23?Won
  No$32 @ 79.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Won
  No$18 @ 89.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?Won
  No$14 @ 68.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?Won
  No$18 @ 89.0¢
• Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
  No$33 @ 40.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?Won
  No$28 @ 68.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?Lost
  No$1 @ 5.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?Lost
  No$46 @ 76.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?Won
  No$35 @ 42.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 23?Lost
  No$0 @ 16.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?Won
  No$17 @ 84.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 24?Won
  No$14 @ 67.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?Won
  No$42 @ 82.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?Won
  No$16 @ 80.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?Won
  No$17 @ 82.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?Won
  No$17 @ 84.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?Won
  No$13 @ 62.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?Won
  No$37 @ 81.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?Won
  No$15 @ 73.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?Won
  No$18 @ 81.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?Won
  No$16 @ 80.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 23?Won
  No$2 @ 84.8¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 22?Won
  No$12 @ 80.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?Lost
  No$17 @ 82.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 22?Won
  No$15 @ 83.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?Won
  No$32 @ 84.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Won
  No$16 @ 78.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?Won
  No$46 @ 77.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 20?Won
  No$18 @ 88.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?Lost
  No$11 @ 52.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?Won
  No$48 @ 79.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 21?Won
  No$16 @ 81.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 23?Won
  No$1 @ 85.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on June 23?Won
  No$8 @ 87.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?Won
  No$18 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?Won
  No$16 @ 81.0¢

Current positions

• Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?Culture
  No$672 @ 85.3¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  No$297 @ 86.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$269 @ 84.4¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$216 @ 86.4¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$210 @ 52.5¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$197 @ 85.7¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
  No$193 @ 23.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$180 @ 86.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics
  No$165 @ 71.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
  No$165 @ 70.7¢
• Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics
  No$151 @ 62.8¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
  No$149 @ 74.7¢
• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$145 @ 80.7¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$142 @ 82.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$122 @ 87.1¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  No$118 @ 85.7¢
• Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
  No$106 @ 88.1¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
  No$104 @ 51.9¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$103 @ 86.6¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Politics
  No$103 @ 79.2¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$98 @ 78.2¢
• New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics
  No$94 @ 49.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$83 @ 81.4¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics
  No$81 @ 44.6¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?—
  No$79 @ 79.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?—
  No$79 @ 52.4¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$74 @ 75.9¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$72 @ 70.2¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
  No$70 @ 89.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 26?—
  No$66 @ 83.0¢