0xc97b…8a22

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc97bc68e61ad98ca4f97d87a67b0a0083ecc8a22
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-9.4pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

41% @ 50.8¢

Brier

0.233

Resolved

756

Avg size

$23

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	40% (22/55)	+27%	55
Other	46% (23/50)	-31%	50
Politics	33% (1/3)	+14%	3
Economy	33% (1/3)	-6%	3

Sports55 bets
Hit rate
40% (22/55)
ROI
+27%
Other50 bets
Hit rate
46% (23/50)
ROI
-31%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+14%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-6%

Track record

42% hit · 47/111

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	60.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$52	52.3¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$391	62.3¢	Won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$10	25.7¢	Lost
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$29	72.7¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2.4k	57.5¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$174	43.5¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$8	3.7¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$35	49.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Under	$29	89.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$425	69.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$728	31.1¢	Lost
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$166	74.6¢	Won
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	25.5¢	Lost
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Yes	$1	6.6¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$21	22.9¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$139	77.4¢	Won
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	$51	41.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win the World Cup?	Yes	$35	30.6¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$140	63.4¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$307	42.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$31	53.7¢	Lost
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$4	26.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$22	76.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$229	80.8¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$64	16.1¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$74	34.6¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$49	65.3¢	Won
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	7.2¢	Lost
Will France win the World Cup?	No	$33	62.0¢	Won
Will France win the World Cup?	Yes	$16	39.0¢	Lost
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$5	42.4¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win the World Cup?	Yes	$2	5.7¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$43	42.0¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$81	39.5¢	Lost
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	5.6¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	$8	61.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$3	40.0¢	Won
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	No	$67	82.4¢	Won
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$41	15.1¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	$102	52.9¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$75	29.1¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$209	60.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$384	55.2¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?	Yes	$106	33.1¢	Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	9.3¢	Lost
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$428	81.9¢	Won
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$143	20.8¢	Lost

Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 60.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$52 @ 52.3¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$391 @ 62.3¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Lost
No$10 @ 25.7¢
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$29 @ 72.7¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$2.4k @ 57.5¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$174 @ 43.5¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.7¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$35 @ 49.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Won
Under$29 @ 89.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$425 @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$728 @ 31.1¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$166 @ 74.6¢
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$36 @ 25.5¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.6¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
No$21 @ 22.9¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$139 @ 77.4¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will Spain win the World Cup?Lost
No$51 @ 41.4¢
Will Spain win the World Cup?Won
Yes$35 @ 30.6¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$140 @ 63.4¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$307 @ 42.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
No$31 @ 53.7¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Lost
No$4 @ 26.0¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Won
Yes$22 @ 76.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$229 @ 80.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$64 @ 16.1¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$74 @ 34.6¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$49 @ 65.3¢
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.2¢
Will France win the World Cup?Won
No$33 @ 62.0¢
Will France win the World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 39.0¢
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$5 @ 42.4¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Norway win the World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$43 @ 42.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$81 @ 39.5¢
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 5.6¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceLost
Colombia$8 @ 61.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Won
No$67 @ 82.4¢
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$41 @ 15.1¢
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
No$102 @ 52.9¢
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$75 @ 29.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$209 @ 60.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$384 @ 55.2¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in June?Lost
Yes$106 @ 33.1¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.3¢
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$428 @ 81.9¢
Will Mike Maignan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$143 @ 20.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$695	98.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Tech	No	$498	92.4¢
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$168	92.3¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$161	84.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$156	75.6¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$110	20.1¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Economy	No	$109	88.4¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$89	94.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$87	48.8¢
US recession by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$66	90.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	No	$49	83.9¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$49	48.6¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	No	$41	15.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$26	30.7¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$23	44.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$15	14.0¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$15	7.6¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$13	9.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$10	77.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	—	Yes	$9	15.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	—	Yes	$9	14.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	—	Yes	$9	13.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$8	8.2¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	No	$5	85.9¢
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$4	71.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$4	27.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$3	5.3¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	—	No	$3	47.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$3	28.0¢
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1	18.0¢

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$695 @ 98.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech
No$498 @ 92.4¢
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
No$168 @ 92.3¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$161 @ 84.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$156 @ 75.6¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$110 @ 20.1¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy
No$109 @ 88.4¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$89 @ 94.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$87 @ 48.8¢
US recession by end of 2026?Economy
No$66 @ 90.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
No$49 @ 83.9¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
No$49 @ 48.6¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
No$41 @ 15.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$26 @ 30.7¢
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Economy
Yes$23 @ 44.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 14.0¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$15 @ 7.6¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$13 @ 9.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$10 @ 77.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?—
Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?—
Yes$9 @ 14.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?—
Yes$9 @ 13.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$8 @ 8.2¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
No$5 @ 85.9¢
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$4 @ 27.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?—
No$3 @ 47.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Economy
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢