← Smart money
0xc932…e6a5
SharpEdge
+7.8pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
72% @ 64.0¢
Brier
0.168
Resolved
472
Avg size
$333
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 63% (82/130) | +2% | 130 |
| Sports | 42% (10/24) | +20% | 24 |
| Politics | 88% (15/17) | +41% | 17 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +49% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other130 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (82/130)
- ROI
- +2%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (10/24)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (15/17)
- ROI
- +41%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +49%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
62% hit · 108/173- No$200 @ 64.0¢
- Penguins$402 @ 49.6¢
- Yes$222 @ 68.0¢
- Lightning$373 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$160 @ 37.0¢
- Joao Fonseca$297 @ 73.0¢
- Alex Pereira$233 @ 52.0¢
- Alexander Zverev$403 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$515 @ 57.9¢
- Yes$451 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$500 @ 66.5¢
- Penguins$796 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$210 @ 59.0¢
- Oilers$335 @ 69.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 74.1¢
- Joe Pyfer$400 @ 44.7¢
- Yes$269 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$250 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 76.0¢
- No$627 @ 86.0¢
- Seahawks$215 @ 68.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 67.3¢
- Yes$313 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 68.0¢
- Alexander Zverev$21 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$206 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 63.2¢
- Yes$820 @ 89.0¢
- Hornets$2.9k @ 78.7¢
- No$4.2k @ 86.1¢
- Czechia$55 @ 17.7¢
- No$8.4k @ 66.1¢
- No$642 @ 73.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$323 @ 50.3¢
- No$3.1k @ 71.1¢
- Yes$56 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$901 @ 57.5¢
- No$501 @ 68.0¢
- No$330 @ 74.9¢
- Yes$29 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 60.0¢
- Penguins$1.1k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$276 @ 46.2¢
- Yes$301 @ 66.0¢
- Wisconsin Badgers$100 @ 70.7¢
- Portugal$102 @ 34.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 80.0¢
- Pistons$100 @ 46.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $13.4k | 55.1¢ |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $11.1k | 66.9¢ |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | Politics | No | $8.7k | 57.7¢ |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $8.5k | 62.2¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $4.1k | 54.8¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $2.1k | 58.9¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $2.1k | 66.4¢ |
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $583 | 66.7¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $475 | 53.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $301 | 38.9¢ |
- No$13.4k @ 55.1¢
- No$11.1k @ 66.9¢
- No$8.7k @ 57.7¢
- Yes$8.5k @ 62.2¢
- No$4.1k @ 54.8¢
- No$2.1k @ 58.9¢
- No$2.1k @ 66.4¢
- Yes$583 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$475 @ 53.0¢
- No$301 @ 38.9¢