0xc61e…244c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc61e2b6ff7a0d34a518f45b60954d05f34de244c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-6.4pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

37% @ 42.9¢

Brier

0.127

Resolved

1342

Avg size

$68

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	21% (4/19)	-45%	19
Politics	43% (3/7)	+20%	7
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-100%	3
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other19 bets
Hit rate
21% (4/19)
ROI
-45%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 8/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?	No	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$541	2.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$26	0.5¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$1.4k	19.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4.3k	83.8¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$11	3.7¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$242	17.7¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	$495	32.3¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$88	53.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$3	5.7¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$1.2k	55.3¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$207	72.7¢	Won
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	No	$1.9k	13.2¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$353	17.2¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$54.3k	80.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$13.0k	46.1¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11.8k	54.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$290	2.3¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	$17	4.5¢	Lost
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43	47.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$64	3.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$50	23.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$59	53.2¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	No	$0	0.8¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	$469	15.3¢	Lost

Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?Lost
No$1 @ 1.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$541 @ 2.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$26 @ 0.5¢
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$1.4k @ 19.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 83.8¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.7¢
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Lost
Yes$242 @ 17.7¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$495 @ 32.3¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$88 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$3 @ 5.7¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$1.2k @ 55.3¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$207 @ 72.7¢
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$1.9k @ 13.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
No$353 @ 17.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$54.3k @ 80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$13.0k @ 46.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$11.8k @ 54.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$290 @ 2.3¢
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?Lost
Yes$17 @ 4.5¢
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$43 @ 47.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$64 @ 3.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
No$50 @ 23.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$59 @ 53.2¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$0 @ 0.8¢
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Lost
No$469 @ 15.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$145	29.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$110	22.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$4	74.0¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$145 @ 29.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$110 @ 22.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$4 @ 74.0¢