0xc550…272d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics43 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (33/43)

  ROI

  -0%

• Other37 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (20/37)

  ROI

  +12%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (11/12)

  ROI

  +17%

• Sports9 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (2/9)

  ROI

  -3%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +4%

• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$335 @ 87.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$430 @ 86.0¢
• Iran leadership change by August 31?Won
  No$477 @ 95.3¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
  No$672 @ 96.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
  No$165 @ 47.0¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?Won
  No$236 @ 94.2¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$487 @ 97.3¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Won
  No$35 @ 94.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
  No$113 @ 33.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$870 @ 87.0¢
• Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Won
  Yes$9 @ 81.0¢
• Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$2.9k @ 97.7¢
• Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Won
  Yes$486 @ 64.2¢
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.3k @ 92.6¢
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$37 @ 90.0¢
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$179 @ 64.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Won
  Yes$9.1k @ 97.5¢
• Another Canada election called by June 30?Lost
  Yes$229 @ 15.6¢
• Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$14 @ 93.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
  Yes$139 @ 26.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$425 @ 85.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$2.3k @ 97.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.5k @ 77.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Won
  No$3.2k @ 94.4¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$869 @ 73.5¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Won
  No$2.7k @ 89.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$355 @ 71.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$4.3k @ 75.9¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
  No$3.1k @ 96.7¢
• Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Won
  No$480 @ 96.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.8k @ 95.1¢
• Will Emma Navarro be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
• Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 6.0¢
• Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Won
  No$248 @ 94.0¢
• Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
• Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
  No$3.4k @ 88.5¢
• Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
• Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
  No$154 @ 44.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Won
  No$8.9k @ 96.6¢
• Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$360 @ 72.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 98.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Won
  No$940 @ 94.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Won
  No$195 @ 97.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Won
  No$471 @ 94.1¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Won
  No$1.5k @ 97.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Won
  No$4.1k @ 92.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$435 @ 87.0¢
• Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Lost
  No$3.1k @ 91.6¢

Current positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$13.7k @ 97.4¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$13.4k @ 93.2¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  No$13.4k @ 56.5¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$13.1k @ 94.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$12.9k @ 80.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
  No$12.3k @ 86.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?—
  No$10.5k @ 92.9¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$10.5k @ 88.9¢
• Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics
  No$9.4k @ 85.8¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
  No$6.6k @ 96.1¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$6.2k @ 89.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
  No$5.1k @ 93.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$5.0k @ 82.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3.9k @ 85.7¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
  No$3.8k @ 81.5¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 95.7¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?—
  Yes$2.9k @ 61.2¢
• US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?—
  No$2.2k @ 97.1¢
• Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 89.8¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.0k @ 98.0¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?—
  No$1.9k @ 70.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 53.5¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 93.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
  No$1.1k @ 96.1¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$977 @ 90.7¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics
  No$939 @ 48.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$930 @ 93.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
  No$750 @ 75.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$713 @ 95.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$685 @ 80.6¢