← Smart money
0xc408…4675
SharpEdge
-16.2pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
24% @ 40.5¢
Brier
0.170
Resolved
103
Avg size
$543
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 56% (5/9) | +7% | 9 |
| Other | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +8% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +257% | 1 |
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +7%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +8%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +257%
Track record
39% hit · 7/18- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$1.9k @ 95.4¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 11.3¢
- Yes$704 @ 13.9¢
- No$117 @ 5.6¢
- No$2.2k @ 28.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 31.0¢
- Yes$14.0k @ 51.6¢
- No$26.5k @ 88.3¢
- Yes$110 @ 2.2¢
- No$5.3k @ 66.9¢
- Yes$70 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.3¢
- No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 89.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
- No$9 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $122.8k | 99.9¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $30.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $30.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | — | No | $12.6k | 92.7¢ |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | No | $166 | 72.3¢ |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $124 | 0.8¢ |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $45 | 0.7¢ |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | No | $12 | 94.4¢ |
- Yes$122.8k @ 99.9¢
- Yes$30.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$30.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$12.6k @ 92.7¢
- No$166 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$124 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.7¢
- No$12 @ 94.4¢