0xc2db…6865

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.4pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

69% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

245

Avg size

$108

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (35/64)	+50%	64
Politics	9% (1/11)	-91%	11
Sports	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Crypto	75% (6/8)	+21%	8

Other64 bets
Hit rate
55% (35/64)
ROI
+50%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
-91%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+21%

Track record

46% hit · 42/91

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?	Yes	$26	26.0¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$35	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$638	59.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$186	86.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?	No	$5	8.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?	No	$18	17.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$176	62.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 16?	Yes	$19	30.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$394	78.0¢	Won
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$4	1.9¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	No	$168	89.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	$15	45.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?	No	$3	2.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$18	17.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?	No	$26	64.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	$533	63.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	Yes	$44	24.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	No	$41	20.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	Yes	$783	82.8¢	Won
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$2	1.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$3	1.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$357	48.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	$122	39.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$142	46.3¢	Lost
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	86.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$196	89.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?	No	$11	54.0¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	$16	79.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?	Yes	$21	52.0¢	Won
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$18	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$236	46.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	$46	5.6¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$40	79.8¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	No	$796	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$20	39.0¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$89	89.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$16	7.1¢	Won

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?Lost
Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$638 @ 59.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$186 @ 86.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?Won
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?Lost
No$18 @ 17.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$176 @ 62.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 16?Won
Yes$19 @ 30.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Won
No$394 @ 78.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsLost
Natus Vincere$4 @ 20.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$4 @ 1.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Won
No$168 @ 89.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
Hanwha Life Esports$15 @ 45.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?Lost
No$3 @ 2.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$18 @ 17.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?Won
No$26 @ 64.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Won
No$533 @ 63.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?Lost
Yes$44 @ 24.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Lost
No$41 @ 20.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Won
Yes$783 @ 82.8¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$2 @ 1.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Won
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Lost
No$3 @ 1.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Won
No$357 @ 48.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Lost
Yes$122 @ 39.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Lost
No$142 @ 46.3¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 86.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$196 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?Lost
No$11 @ 54.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLost
Top Esports$16 @ 79.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7?Won
Yes$21 @ 52.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
No$18 @ 35.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$236 @ 46.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Lost
Yes$46 @ 5.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$40 @ 79.8¢
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Won
No$796 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Lost
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 39.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$16 @ 7.1¢

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