0xc2db…6865

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.8pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

54% @ 49.3¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

1633

Avg size

$61

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (288/521)	+17%	521
Crypto	66% (73/111)	+8%	111
Politics	44% (15/34)	+1%	34
Sports	53% (10/19)	+12%	19
Science	100% (11/11)	+0%	11
Geopolitics	40% (2/5)	-4%	5
Tech	100% (3/3)	+30%	3
Culture	50% (1/2)	+3%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Other521 bets
Hit rate
55% (288/521)
ROI
+17%
Crypto111 bets
Hit rate
66% (73/111)
ROI
+8%
Politics34 bets
Hit rate
44% (15/34)
ROI
+1%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
53% (10/19)
ROI
+12%
Science11 bets
Hit rate
100% (11/11)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-4%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+30%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+3%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

Track record

57% hit · 404/707

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	No	$49	24.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?	No	$73	96.8¢	Won
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	$2.9k	97.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	$196	97.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	$195	97.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	$785	84.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	$559	67.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	$1.5k	98.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$3.9k	41.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	$2.7k	96.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$3.3k	80.1¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$41	81.0¢	Lost
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	$97	96.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	No	$499	99.8¢	Won
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$20	19.6¢	Lost
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	$78	77.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	$44	44.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	$46	48.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?	Yes	$48	99.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?	No	$183	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?	No	$129	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?	No	$242	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?	Yes	$5	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?	No	$710	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	No	$998	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	No	$3.6k	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	$891	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	$1.5k	99.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	No	$856	89.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	$247	57.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	No	$971	97.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 16?	No	$8.0k	99.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?	No	$805	94.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	No	$28	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	$60	30.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?	No	$16	39.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 14?	No	$450	90.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 12-18?	Yes	$833	82.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$94	78.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	Yes	$493	83.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	No	$44	88.7¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	No	$50	53.3¢	Lost
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$2	1.8¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$630	74.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$159	79.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Gen.G	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	No	$325	88.2¢	Won
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?	No	$72	34.2¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Lost
No$49 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 October 26-November 1?Won
No$73 @ 96.8¢
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Won
No$2.9k @ 97.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?Won
No$196 @ 97.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?Won
No$195 @ 97.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Won
No$785 @ 84.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Won
No$559 @ 67.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Won
No$1.5k @ 98.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$3.9k @ 41.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Won
No$2.7k @ 96.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$3.3k @ 80.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
No$41 @ 81.0¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Won
No$97 @ 96.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?Won
No$499 @ 99.8¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$20 @ 19.6¢
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$78 @ 77.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?Lost
No$44 @ 44.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?Lost
No$46 @ 48.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?Won
Yes$48 @ 99.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 18?Won
No$183 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 18?Won
No$129 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 18?Won
No$242 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Won
Yes$5 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17?Won
No$710 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?Won
No$998 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?Won
No$3.6k @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 18?Won
Yes$891 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?Won
No$1.5k @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Won
No$856 @ 89.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?Won
No$247 @ 57.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?Won
No$971 @ 97.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 16?Won
No$8.0k @ 99.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?Won
No$805 @ 94.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?Lost
No$28 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Lost
No$60 @ 30.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 15?Lost
No$16 @ 39.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 14?Won
No$450 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 12-18?Won
Yes$833 @ 82.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$94 @ 78.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Won
Yes$493 @ 83.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Won
No$44 @ 88.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Lost
No$50 @ 53.3¢
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Lost
No$2 @ 1.8¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$630 @ 74.0¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
Team Vitality$9 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 12?Won
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$159 @ 79.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsWon
Gen.G$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?Won
No$325 @ 88.2¢
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?Lost
No$72 @ 34.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.6k	97.7¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.1k	97.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.4k	97.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	96.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	91.3¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Tech	No	$910	91.0¢
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	Culture	No	$878	88.6¢
Trump goes to space in 2026?	Politics	No	$778	97.9¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$377	90.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$336	84.0¢
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Sports	No	$206	92.0¢
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$194	61.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$162	81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Crypto	No	$65	21.3¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Crypto	No	$59	53.8¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$39	77.0¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tech	Yes	$33	47.3¢

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.6k @ 97.7¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.1k @ 97.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.4k @ 97.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 96.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 91.3¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Tech
No$910 @ 91.0¢
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Culture
No$878 @ 88.6¢
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics
No$778 @ 97.9¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$377 @ 90.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$336 @ 84.0¢
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Sports
No$206 @ 92.0¢
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$194 @ 61.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$162 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Crypto
No$65 @ 21.3¢
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Crypto
No$59 @ 53.8¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
Yes$33 @ 47.3¢