0xc1e5…c5df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc1e51a0e0ab9f10e2d489b312e35ad8b220dc5df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

-7.8pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

42% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.236

Resolved

270

Avg size

$13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (149/341)	-5%	341
Sports	67% (8/12)	+20%	12
Politics	43% (3/7)	+21%	7
Crypto	50% (2/4)	+42%	4
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other341 bets
Hit rate
44% (149/341)
ROI
-5%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
ROI
+20%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+21%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+42%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 162/365

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	$5	38.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	$8	53.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5	Over	$5	80.0¢	Lost
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	60.0¢	Lost
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	$8	77.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$20	7.9¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Over	$8	54.0¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Under	$8	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	$5	63.0¢	Lost
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	$5	73.0¢	Won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	$8	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	$8	47.7¢	Lost
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Mets	$8	59.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$50	76.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$13	12.5¢	Lost
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5	Over	$8	57.0¢	Lost
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5	Under	$8	54.0¢	Won
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	$8	65.1¢	Won
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)	Athletics	$8	36.0¢	Lost
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	$5	59.6¢	Won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5	Under	$8	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 15?	Yes	$2	9.5¢	Won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	$8	57.0¢	Won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	$8	66.0¢	Lost
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Under	$5	51.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Under	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Under	$8	48.0¢	Lost
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)	Miami Marlins	$8	31.0¢	Lost
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Under	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5	Under	$8	43.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$51	64.0¢	Won
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Over	$5	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)	Washington Nationals	$5	53.0¢	Won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5	Over	$8	57.0¢	Lost
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5	Over	$5	56.0¢	Won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Over	$5	38.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	$5	53.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	$5	49.0¢	Lost
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	$5	38.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	$5	16.0¢	Lost
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Cavaliers	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Timberwolves	$8	49.0¢	Lost
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	$5	71.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	$5	58.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	Under	$8	52.0¢	Lost
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?	No	$5	45.0¢	Won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5	Over	$8	26.8¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	No	$51	62.0¢	Won

Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWon
Colorado Rockies$5 @ 38.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Bernardo Sopaj$8 @ 53.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$5 @ 80.0¢
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Lost
San Francisco Giants$8 @ 77.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.9¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Lost
Over$8 @ 54.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Won
Under$8 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Lost
Chicago White Sox$5 @ 63.0¢
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Won
Seattle Mariners$5 @ 73.0¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Won
Los Angeles Dodgers$8 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Lost
San Francisco Giants$8 @ 47.7¢
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Won
New York Mets$8 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 76.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 12.5¢
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Lost
Over$8 @ 57.0¢
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Won
Under$8 @ 54.0¢
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Won
Over$8 @ 65.1¢
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Lost
Athletics$8 @ 36.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersWon
Seattle Mariners$5 @ 59.6¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Lost
Under$8 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 15?Won
Yes$2 @ 9.5¢
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Won
San Diego Padres$8 @ 57.0¢
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Lost
Seattle Mariners$8 @ 66.0¢
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Won
Under$5 @ 51.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Lost
Under$5 @ 48.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Lost
Under$8 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Lost
Miami Marlins$8 @ 31.0¢
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Lost
Under$5 @ 52.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Lost
Under$8 @ 43.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$51 @ 64.0¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$5 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Won
Washington Nationals$5 @ 53.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$8 @ 57.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Won
Over$5 @ 56.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Won
Over$5 @ 38.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Won
Over$5 @ 53.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Lost
Under$5 @ 49.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesWon
Baltimore Orioles$5 @ 38.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesLost
New York Yankees$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Lost
Cavaliers$5 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Lost
Timberwolves$8 @ 49.0¢
O/U 2.5 RoundsLost
Over$5 @ 71.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansWon
Cleveland Guardians$5 @ 58.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland GuardiansLost
Los Angeles Angels$5 @ 41.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Lost
Under$8 @ 52.0¢
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?Won
No$5 @ 45.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Lost
Over$8 @ 26.8¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$51 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$20	80.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$20	83.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$20	71.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$20	63.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$20	45.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	34.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$20	30.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Politics	No	$19	87.0¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$14	90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	26.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	—	No	$1	78.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	—	No	$1	55.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	13.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?	—	Yes	$1	1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 31?	—	Yes	$1	0.5¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?—
No$20 @ 71.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$20 @ 63.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 45.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?—
No$20 @ 30.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
No$19 @ 87.0¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?—
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?—
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 13.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?—
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 31?—
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢