0xbe1a…03a9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xbe1a30a04d67adc316fabab3d31a4280512b03a9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+27.6pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

85% @ 57.2¢

Brier

0.147

Resolved

356

Avg size

$62

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (11/30)	-35%	30
Sports	63% (5/8)	+51%	8
Politics	100% (2/2)	+90%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+49%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
37% (11/30)
ROI
-35%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+51%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+90%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%

Track record

46% hit · 19/41

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$43	37.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$13	75.7¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$56	25.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$503	18.6¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$14	84.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$989	27.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$17	49.4¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$9	20.7¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$399	59.6¢	Won
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Chicago White Sox	$3	42.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$2	67.0¢	Won
Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	$6	61.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$68	85.6¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$312	22.5¢	Lost
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$6	28.2¢	Lost
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	$6	45.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$117	53.9¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	$7	58.0¢	Won
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-19?	No	$22	43.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$59	75.8¢	Won
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$37	28.2¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$18.2k	61.6¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$490	34.0¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres	San Francisco Giants	$2	71.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$392	62.8¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$12	28.8¢	Won
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$31	24.7¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	$37	36.2¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$117	59.5¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	$168	49.8¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$55	27.0¢	Lost
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics	Athletics	$3	41.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$6	39.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	$34	69.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$5	39.0¢	Lost
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	$5	51.0¢	Won
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Kansas City Royals	$6	52.0¢	Lost
W35 Kyoto: Rinko Matsuda vs Natsumi Kawaguchi	Rinko Matsuda	$20	52.4¢	Won

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$43 @ 37.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$13 @ 75.7¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$56 @ 25.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$503 @ 18.6¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Won
No$14 @ 84.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$989 @ 27.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$17 @ 49.4¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$9 @ 20.7¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$399 @ 59.6¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysWon
Chicago White Sox$3 @ 42.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Broncos vs. 49ersWon
49ers$6 @ 61.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$68 @ 85.6¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$312 @ 22.5¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$6 @ 28.2¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLost
Cleveland Guardians$6 @ 45.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$117 @ 53.9¢
Patriots vs. JaguarsWon
Jaguars$7 @ 58.0¢
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-07-19?Lost
No$22 @ 43.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$59 @ 75.8¢
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Lost
Yes$37 @ 28.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$18.2k @ 61.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$490 @ 34.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresWon
San Francisco Giants$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$392 @ 62.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Won
Yes$12 @ 28.8¢
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Lost
Yes$31 @ 24.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Lost
Yes$37 @ 36.2¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Won
Yes$117 @ 59.5¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Lost
Yes$168 @ 49.8¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$55 @ 27.0¢
Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsLost
Athletics$3 @ 41.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$6 @ 39.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsWon
Aurora Gaming$34 @ 69.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Lost
Yes$5 @ 39.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesWon
Baltimore Orioles$5 @ 51.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLost
Kansas City Royals$6 @ 52.0¢
W35 Kyoto: Rinko Matsuda vs Natsumi KawaguchiWon
Rinko Matsuda$20 @ 52.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$40	98.9¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$20	96.7¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	No	$4	96.2¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$4	97.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$1	98.0¢

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$40 @ 98.9¢
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$20 @ 96.7¢
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
No$4 @ 96.2¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$4 @ 97.7¢
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$1 @ 98.0¢