← Smart money
0xbe1a…03a9
SharpEdge
+30.0pp
ROI
+47%
Win rate
88% @ 58.4¢
Brier
0.147
Resolved
329
Avg size
$62
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 41% (9/22) | -65% | 22 |
| Sports | 67% (2/3) | +59% | 3 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +32% | 1 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (9/22)
- ROI
- -65%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +59%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
46% hit · 12/26- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Argentina$13 @ 75.7¢
- Switzerland$56 @ 25.2¢
- No$14 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$989 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 20.7¢
- Yes$299 @ 59.6¢
- Chicago White Sox$3 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
- No$68 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$312 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 28.2¢
- Cleveland Guardians$6 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- England$117 @ 53.9¢
- No$22 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$59 @ 75.8¢
- No$18.2k @ 61.6¢
- San Francisco Giants$2 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$31 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$37 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$168 @ 49.8¢
- Athletics$3 @ 41.0¢
- Aurora Gaming$34 @ 69.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | No | $40 | 98.9¢ |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | No | $20 | 96.7¢ |
| W35 Kyoto: Rinko Matsuda vs Natsumi Kawaguchi | — | Rinko Matsuda | $20 | 52.4¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | No | $4 | 96.2¢ |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $4 | 97.7¢ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $1 | 98.0¢ |
- No$40 @ 98.9¢
- No$20 @ 96.7¢
- Rinko Matsuda$20 @ 52.4¢
- No$4 @ 96.2¢
- No$4 @ 97.7¢
- No$1 @ 98.0¢